FNUS72 KILM 200806 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...PENDER COUNTY EM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 406 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2357 EDT ON JUNE 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A BUILDING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BRING OPPRESSIVELY HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS TODAY. THE SEABREEZE WILL REMAIN SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FIRE...AS WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW KEEPS THE SEABREEZE FRONT PINNED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT EVEN STORMS THAT ARE SEVERAL MILES AWAY FROM THE FIRE CAN PRODUCE SHIFTING AND GUSTY WINDS. A WEAK FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...RESULTING IN A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND A SLIGHT RESPITE IN THE INTENSE HEAT FOR TUESDAY. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 13 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............43 58 48 34 23 31 WEATHER COV......... S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TEMP................77 79 86 92 96 96 RH..................91 87 64 47 38 39 20 FT WIND..........W 5 W 6 W 7 W 8 W 8 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......W 4 W 4 W 5 W 6 W 6 W 5 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 15 15 15 15 15 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING... BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............42 50 69 74 78 78 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP................93 85 78 74 72 71 RH..................45 62 76 82 84 87 20 FT WIND..........W 6 NW 4 N 4 N 3 N 3 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......W 4 NW 3 N 3 N 2 N 2 N 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 10 10 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY... BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY... BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............77 55 52 49 46 39 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................71 73 79 87 90 91 RH..................88 84 64 52 47 47 20 FT WIND..........NE 4 NE 5 E 3 E 3 S 4 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 5 5 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......NE 3 NE 4 E 2 E 2 S 3 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 5 5 5 10 $$ FORECASTER...STEVE REQUESTED BY...TOMMY BATSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110619.JUNIP.03/ILM