FNUS72 KJAX 191043
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESPANOLA...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
643 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0627 EDT ON JUNE 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
ALONG WITH LOW RAIN CHANCES. AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S ARE
FORECAST WITH HEAT INDICES CLIMBING TO 105 TO 110. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
PREVAIL EACH DAY WITH THE ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE LIKELY REACHING THE FIRE BY
4 PM BEFORE STALLING.

RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED WITH RH VALUES BOTTOMING OUT AROUND
45 PERCENT EACH AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS
                    BECOMING SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST LATE.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6300 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....66.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........50     46     48     48     50     52
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............73     82     92     97     98     97
RH..............96     87     62     49     44     47
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 5   W 8    SW 8   SW 8   S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   2100   4200   4200   6300   6300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7    W 8    W 8    W 8    W 10   W 14
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
                    PATCHY SMOKE THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-2200 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......2 PERCENT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........52     54     54     49     43     43
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............93     87     82     79     77     75
RH..............51     62     71     77     82     87
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 9    S 8    SW 6   W 5    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....5600   2200   2200   1000   400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14   SW 15  SW 15  W 13   W 8    W 8
LVORI...........5      5      5      5      5      5
DISPERSION INDX.60     39     39     8      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400-6100 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ZAPPE
REQUESTED BY...DUANE WEIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110619.ESPAN.01/JAX