FNUS72 KMHX 190954 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 554 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0544 EDT ON JUNE 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE OF VIRGINIA TODAY PUSHING A WEAK COLD FRONT SOUTH INTO NORTH CAROLINA. THE FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE REGION TONIGHT THEN PUSH SOUTH MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING ON TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INLAND WILL RETURN FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 22 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............66 62 62 60 60 61 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TEMP................75 76 81 86 89 88 RH..................77 75 67 57 52 55 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 8 W 8 W 9 W 9 W 10 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....12 11 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............5 4 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 3 4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT NORTHEAST. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING EAST TO 3 TO 5 MPH LATE. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............64 66 68 72 74 73 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................86 81 78 75 73 72 RH..................59 73 81 88 93 94 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 6 NW 5 N 5 N 4 N 3 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 LVORI...............1 3 4 6 8 8 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 4 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 9 MPH. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............72 71 62 58 55 54 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................71 78 82 86 86 82 RH..................97 80 66 57 56 63 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 3 NE 3 NE 5 N 6 N 8 N 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 15 15 15 LVORI...............10 5 3 1 1 3 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...FREDERICK REQUESTED BY...ERIC WELKER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110619.PAINS.01/MHX