FNUS72 KMLB 191303
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR VOLUSIA COMMAND 2011...VOLUSIA COUNTY FIRE SERVICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
903 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0829 EDT ON JUNE 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK DISTURBANCE THAT HELPED KICK OFF STRONGER
STORMS YESTERDAY WILL PUSH INTO SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON WITH
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR BUILDING INTO NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO LIMIT RAIN CHANCES NEAR THE BURN SITE TODAY WITH ONLY
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ALONG THE SEA BREEZE
LATER TODAY. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO DELAY BUT NOT PREVENT
THE DEVELOPMENT AND WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE SEA BREEZE ALONG
VOLUSIA COUNTY TODAY. AS SEA BREEZE PASSES THE BURN SITE EXPECT
SOUTHWEST WINDS TO SWITCH TO THE SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE UP TO
AROUND 10 MPH. IF ANY STORMS DEVELOP NEAR THE AREA...THEY WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE HOT TODAY...RISING
INTO THE MID 90S BEFORE THE SEA BREEZE CROSSES THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....40.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                            TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............75  80  85  89  91  93  94  94  93  92  89  87
RH..............90  77  69  59  52  49  44  44  44  50  55  63
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   7   7   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.                        10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-2000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............6.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 34.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...JULIE MADDUX
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110619.VOLUS.01/MLB