FNUS72 KMLB 192244
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR VOLUSIA COMMAND 2011...VOLUSIA COUNTY FIRE SERVICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
644 PM EDT SUN JUN 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1112 EDT ON JUNE 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE HAS PUSHED JUST TO THE WEST OF THE FIRE
THIS EVENING...AND THE COLLISION OF THE EAST AND WEST COAST SEA
BREEZES IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN THIS LOCATION LATER THIS EVENING.
A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ALONG THE COLLISION
WILL DRIFT NEAR OR OVER THE FIRE. ANY STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION ON MONDAY WILL LIMIT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE AREA AND THE FIRE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY ON MONDAY WITH RH VALUES DROPPING INTO THE
LOW 40S. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL REACH THE FIRE BY MID
AFTERNOON WITH WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING EAST AS IT PASSES.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2200 EDT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    3 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM
TEMP............84  83  81  79  78  76  75  75  75  75  74
RH..............63  65  69  77  76  82  84  84  84  87  90
20 FT WIND DIR..E   SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   7   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING EAST 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....42.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...JULIE MADDUX
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110619.VOLUS.03/MLB