FNUS75 KBOU 201254 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL RIDGE ROAD...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 700 AM MDT MON JUN 20 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO ONTO THE PLAINS TODAY. IT APPEARS THAT THE MAIN PERIOD OF SNOW IS OVER...THOUGH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS ARE STILL EXPECTED TODAY. THE TOP OF TRAIL RIDGE WILL LIKELY RECEIVE ANOTHER 1-3 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE SHOWERS TODAY...WITH LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION BELOW 11 THOUSAND FEET DUE TO WARM TEMPERATURES. SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING AND THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF ACCUMULATING SNOW ON TUESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-46. MIN HUMIDITY........55-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 16-26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN AROUND 28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-31. MAX HUMIDITY........80-95%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN AROUND 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17-28 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-58. MIN HUMIDITY........28-38%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TRAIL RIDGEROAD. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/20-06 100 90 84 29 95 NW15 23 3 3 SE 8 438 NW15 5501 P 06/20-07 100 90 84 31 90 NW16 25 3 3 E 7 1083 NW17 19155 P 06/20-08 100 90 84 32 89 NW17 26 3 3 N 8 1729 NW20 32809 P 06/20-09 100 90 84 34 83 NW18 28 3 3 N12 2374 NW23 46463 F 06/20-10 100 90 84 36 74 NW20 29 3 3 N18 2756 NW24 58534 F 06/20-11 100 90 84 38 66 NW20 30 3 3 N25 3137 N25 70606 G 06/20-12 90 70 53 39 61 NW21 31 3 3 N31 3519 N26 82677 G 06/20-13 90 70 53 39 60 NW21 32 3 3 N30 3550 N28 85063 G 06/20-14 90 70 53 40 61 NW22 32 3 3 N26 3581 NW28 87449 G 06/20-15 90 70 53 40 63 NW22 33 3 3 N23 3611 NW29 89835 G 06/20-16 90 70 53 40 65 NW23 33 3 3 N22 3280 NW29 81950 G 06/20-17 90 70 53 40 68 NW23 35 3 3 NW22 2948 NW29 74066 G 06/20-18 63 30 9 39 71 NW23 35 3 2 NW23 2617 NW29 66181 G 06/20-19 63 30 9 38 74 NW22 32 3 2 NW25 1895 NW25 46475 F 06/20-20 63 30 9 37 79 NW20 30 3 2 NW28 1174 NW22 26769 P 06/20-21 63 30 9 35 83 NW18 28 3 2 NW31 452 NW18 7063 P 06/20-22 63 30 9 34 86 NW18 26 3 2 NW31 412 NW17 6194 P 06/20-23 63 30 9 33 87 NW17 26 2 2 N31 372 NW16 5324 P 06/21-00 75 20 4 32 88 NW17 26 2 1 N31 332 NW15 4455 P 06/21-01 75 20 4 31 89 NW16 24 2 1 N33 316 NW15 3995 P 06/21-02 75 20 4 31 90 NW15 22 2 1 N36 300 NW14 3536 P 06/21-03 75 20 4 30 91 NW14 21 2 1 N39 283 NW13 3076 P 06/21-04 75 20 4 30 88 NW14 20 2 1 N41 286 NW13 3106 P 06/21-05 75 20 4 30 85 NW14 20 2 1 N44 289 NW13 3136 P 06/21-06 59 10 2 30 83 NW14 21 2 1 N46 292 W13 3165 P 06/21-07 59 10 2 31 82 NW15 22 2 1 N47 1562 NW17 34814 P 06/21-08 59 10 2 37 67 NW16 25 3 1 N46 2831 NW23 66463 G 06/21-09 59 10 2 41 60 NW18 28 3 1 N46 4100 NW28 98113 G 06/21-10 59 10 2 45 51 NW18 30 3 1 N46 4764 NW26 107346 V 06/21-11 59 10 2 48 43 NW18 29 4 1 N46 5428 NW25 116579 V 06/21-12 60 0 0 50 38 NW17 28 4 1 NW46 6093 NW24 125813 V 06/21-13 60 0 0 51 36 NW16 25 4 1 NW46 6655 NW23 128613 V 06/21-14 60 0 0 52 35 NW14 22 3 1 NW45 7217 NW21 131413 V 06/21-15 60 0 0 52 34 NW13 21 3 1 NW44 7779 NW20 134213 V 06/21-16 60 0 0 53 33 NW13 21 3 1 NW44 7699 NW20 131354 V 06/21-17 60 0 0 52 34 NW14 21 3 1 NW45 7620 NW20 128494 V 06/21-18 60 0 0 51 35 NW14 22 3 1 NW45 7540 NW20 125635 V 06/21-19 60 0 0 50 37 NW14 22 3 1 NW44 5448 NW17 89076 G 06/21-20 60 0 0 47 42 NW14 22 3 1 NW43 3357 NW16 52516 F 06/21-21 60 0 0 44 48 NW13 21 3 1 NW40 1265 NW15 15957 P 06/21-22 60 0 0 42 52 NW12 12 3 1 NW40 944 W13 11330 P 06/21-23 60 0 0 40 55 W10 10 3 1 NW39 622 W10 6704 P 06/22-00 28 0 0 39 58 W 9 9 3 1 NW40 300 W 8 2077 P 06/22-01 28 0 0 38 59 W 9 9 3 1 NW40 269 W 8 1841 P 06/22-02 28 0 0 37 60 W 9 9 3 1 NW41 238 W 8 1606 P 06/22-03 28 0 0 36 61 W 9 9 3 1 NW43 207 W 8 1370 P 06/22-04 28 0 0 35 61 W 9 9 3 1 NW43 207 W 8 1367 P 06/22-05 28 0 0 35 59 W 9 9 4 1 NW44 206 W 8 1363 P 06/22-06 28 0 0 35 59 W 9 9 4 1 NW45 206 W 8 1359 P 06/22-07 28 0 0 37 57 W 9 9 4 1 NW45 1098 W10 12903 P 06/22-08 28 0 0 41 51 W10 10 4 1 NW46 1989 W13 24446 P 06/22-09 28 0 0 45 46 NW10 10 4 1 NW46 2881 NW14 35990 P 06/22-10 28 0 0 49 39 NW10 10 4 1 NW45 4442 NW16 64099 G 06/22-11 28 0 0 51 34 NW10 10 4 1 NW45 6002 NW17 92208 G 06/22-12 26 0 0 53 31 NW10 10 4 1 NW44 7563 NW18 120317 V 06/22-13 26 0 0 54 29 W10 10 4 1 NW44 8159 NW18 134013 V 06/22-14 26 0 0 55 28 W10 10 3 1 NW44 8755 NW20 147708 V 06/22-15 26 0 0 56 28 W10 10 3 1 NW44 9351 NW20 161403 E 06/22-16 26 0 0 56 28 W10 10 3 1 NW44 8739 NW20 149791 V 06/22-17 26 0 0 55 29 W12 12 4 1 NW43 8128 NW20 138178 V 06/22-18 26 0 0 54 31 NW12 18 4 1 NW41 7516 NW20 126566 V 06/22-19 26 0 0 53 33 NW10 10 4 1 NW40 5148 NW15 85277 G 06/22-20 26 0 0 50 37 W 9 9 4 1 NW39 2780 W12 43989 F 06/22-21 26 0 0 47 42 W 8 8 4 1 NW39 411 W 8 2700 P 06/22-22 26 0 0 45 45 W 7 7 4 1 NW38 343 W 7 2151 P 06/22-23 26 0 0 43 48 W 7 7 4 1 NW38 274 W 7 1603 P 06/23-00 7 0 0 42 51 W 7 7 4 1 NW37 205 W 6 1054 P 06/23-01 7 0 0 40 53 W 8 8 4 1 NW36 191 W 7 1072 P 06/23-02 7 0 0 39 56 W 9 9 5 1 NW33 177 W 7 1089 P 06/23-03 7 0 0 38 58 W10 10 5 1 NW31 163 W 8 1106 P 06/23-04 7 0 0 38 59 W10 10 5 1 NW30 165 W 8 1145 P 06/23-05 7 0 0 37 59 W10 10 4 1 NW29 167 W 8 1184 P 06/23-06 7 0 0 38 58 W10 10 3 1 NW29 169 W 8 1223 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...MARK PITA REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110620.TRAIL.01/BOU