FNUS72 KJAX 210325
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KELLY...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1125 PM EDT MON JUN 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2330 EDT ON JUNE 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION....LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH HIGH
HUMIDITY LEVELS.

TUESDAY...AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW CRITICAL
VALUES ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA TUESDAY FOR 2-3 HOURS. EXTENDED
DURATIONS OF LOW RHS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA IN COMBINATION WITH ELEVATED ERC VALUES. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THESE COUNTIES.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........21     21     21     23
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............81     78     76     74
RH..............82     86     89     93
20 FT WIND......SW 7   SW 6   W 3    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      10
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1000   300    1200
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9   W 9    W 6    W 7
LVORI...........6      6      6      6
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE
                    THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 101.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900-8000 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........23     30     30     22     31     31
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............74     78     90     98     101    100
RH..............93     86     58     43     33     34
20 FT WIND......W 2    W 3    W 5    W 5    W 5    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10                   10
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   2000   2000   5000   8000   8000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7    W 9    W 9    W 8    SW 6   SW 6
DISPERSION INDX.3      24     24     47     48     48
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...PETE MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110620.KELLY.01/JAX