FNUS72 KMHX 200954 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 554 AM EDT MON JUN 20 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0542 EDT ON JUNE 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER WILL MOVE EAST AND OFFSHORE TODAY. A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THE LOW WILL MOVE SE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY THEN SLIDE OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH WILL CONTINUE OFFSHORE THROUGH FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY...BECOMING WEST 13 TO 19 MPH MID DAY THEN NORTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 21 TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............69 62 59 59 58 57 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................73 77 82 86 89 87 RH..................97 87 73 63 57 58 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 5 SW 5 SW 7 W 9 W 11 NW 14 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 20 25 LVORI...............9 5 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH...WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH EARLY. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO 13 TO 18 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............57 57 57 57 57 57 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................84 79 75 71 69 68 RH..................63 73 83 90 95 97 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 14 N 15 N 14 N 12 N 10 N 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 20 20 20 15 15 LVORI...............1 3 4 4 5 7 HAINES INDEX........3 2 3 3 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...SLIGHT CHANCE OF LATE DAY THUNDERSTORM MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WIND 6 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING EAST TO SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............57 57 55 52 50 45 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................66 75 82 87 88 85 RH..................99 72 62 52 52 57 20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 7 N 6 NE 6 E 5 E 5 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 LVORI...............7 3 3 2 2 2 HAINES INDEX........4 4 3 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...FREDERICK REQUESTED BY...ERIC WELKER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110620.PAINS.01/MHX