FNUS72 KMHX 201826 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 226 PM EDT MON JUN 20 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1415 EDT ON JUNE 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER WILL MOVE EAST AND OFFSHORE TONIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY THEN SLIDE OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BUILD INLAND AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OFFSHORE THROUGH FRIDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1000-1300 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 23 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............57 58 60 62 64 69 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................82 79 76 73 71 70 RH..................63 69 75 78 78 80 20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 14 N 12 N 10 N 8 NE 5 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 15 15 5 LVORI...............1 1 3 4 4 5 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............74 78 72 63 56 49 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................68 72 79 84 87 87 RH..................89 78 64 53 48 53 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 3 NE 3 E 4 SE 5 S 7 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 15 LVORI...............7 4 3 2 2 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 3 4 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............39 33 35 34 34 34 WEATHER COV.........S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................86 82 78 78 76 75 RH..................57 63 71 73 81 86 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 8 S 9 S 8 S 8 S 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 10 LVORI...............1 2 3 3 4 5 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300-4900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1000-1900 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............34 35 33 31 29 31 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................76 82 89 94 94 92 RH..................86 73 60 50 48 50 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 8 SW 9 SW 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 20 LVORI...............6 3 3 1 1 2 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...COLLINS REQUESTED BY...ERIC WELKER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110620.PAINS.02/MHX