FNUS72 KILM 212357 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 757 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1942 EDT ON JUNE 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... VERY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT PASSES OVERHEAD. THE INTENSE HEAT WILL ABATE AND RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY LATER IN THE WEEK AS A WEAK FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY OVER THE CAROLINAS. THE LVORI FORECAST... 8 PM WEDNESDAY: 4 12 AM WEDNESDAY: 5 4 AM WEDNESDAY: 6 8 AM WEDNESDAY: 4 12 PM WEDNESDAY: 1 4 PM WEDNESDAY: 1 PLAN ON ISSUING A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY FOR PENDER COUNTY FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS OF WEDNESDAY. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE SMOKE BY LATE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......INVERSION LOWERING TO 700 FT AGL BY 9 PM EDT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 13 MPH LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 17 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............63 63 61 80 79 75 WEATHER COV......... AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................82 78 77 76 75 75 RH..................76 85 91 95 96 95 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 5 S 10 SW 14 SW 12 SW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 20 25 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 4 S 4 S 7 SW 10 SW 9 SW 9 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 20 25 20 20 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-6200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 13 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............74 78 54 48 51 51 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................75 81 87 93 96 95 RH..................95 77 60 48 44 47 20 FT WIND..........SW 12 SW 12 SW 6 SW 6 S 6 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 10 10 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 9 SW 9 SW 4 SW 4 S 5 S 5 EYE LVL WND GST.....20 20 10 10 15 15 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-1100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 0 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............51 51 48 46 44 55 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................92 87 83 80 78 77 RH..................55 69 78 86 89 92 20 FT WIND..........S 7 S 7 SW 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 5 S 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 0 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............69 80 73 64 57 52 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................76 79 85 90 92 91 RH..................93 80 61 48 43 46 20 FT WIND..........SW 8 W 8 W 8 SW 9 SW 9 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 6 W 6 W 6 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 $$ FORECASTER...DIGIORGI REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110621.JUNIP.03/ILM