FNUS72 KMHX 210957
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
557 AM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0546 EDT ON JUNE 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE NEAR THE COAST THIS MORNING WILL MOVE OFFSHORE
THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE COAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS TO THE
WEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    10 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 14 MPH LATE.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............70     63     54     41     31     32
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................64     69     76     83     86     86
RH..................86     81     66     54     49     52
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 4   NE 3   E 5    SE 6   S 8    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5             10     15     15
LVORI...............6      5      3      2      2      1
HAINES INDEX........4      5      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............35     37     37     36     35     34
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................85     82     80     78     77     77
RH..................57     66     74     84     90     94
20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 9    S 10   S 9    S 8    S 7    SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15     10     10
LVORI...............1      3      3      4      5      6
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH...INCREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH LATE.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............34     33     33     33     33     37
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................76     84     91     96     96     93
RH..................99     79     61     52     50     55
20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 6   SW 6   SW 7   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     15     15     15     15
LVORI...............8      5      3      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........5      4      5      5      5      4

$$
FORECASTER...GLENN
REQUESTED BY...ERIC WELKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110621.PAINS.01/MHX