FNUS72 KILM 221304 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 904 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0855 EDT ON JUNE 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT PUSHES OFFSHORE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP IN THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE INTENSE HEAT WILL ABATE AND RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY LATER IN THE WEEK AS A WEAK FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CAROLINAS. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE...HOWEVER A BROTAK WIND PROFILE (STRONG WINDS ALOFT) WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE BENNETTSVILLE AND LUMBERTON VICINITY THIS AFTERNOON. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2200 FT AGL 10 AM...INCREASING TO 6300-8000 FT AGL BY 2 PM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH BETWEEN 3 AND 4 PM. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............36 30 28 33 50 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................78 87 94 96 95 RH..................78 60 47 44 47 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 3 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 15 15 15 15 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL EARLY MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 24 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............50 52 56 57 55 58 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................94 88 83 79 77 75 RH..................49 63 73 78 78 85 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 5 S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 4 SW 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 10 10 10 10 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5300-6500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 22 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............59 57 68 68 68 69 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................75 76 83 89 91 91 RH..................88 87 64 51 46 46 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 4 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 $$ FORECASTER...HAWKINS REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110622.SIMMO.02/ILM