FNUS72 KMHX 220959 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 559 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0548 EDT ON JUNE 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OFFSHORE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS TO THE WEST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH AROUND NOON...THEN INCREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 17 TO 22 MPH LATE. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............56 54 49 43 38 41 WEATHER COV......... S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TEMP................76 77 83 88 90 89 RH..................92 89 76 66 63 65 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 3 S 6 S 8 S 9 S 10 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....7 9 15 15 20 21 LVORI...............8 6 4 3 2 3 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 4 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............45 48 49 51 53 54 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................88 83 80 78 77 76 RH..................68 78 86 90 96 99 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 12 S 14 S 14 SW 14 SW 12 SW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 20 20 LVORI...............3 3 4 4 5 5 HAINES INDEX........5 5 3 4 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 14 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............56 57 59 59 60 56 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................75 80 86 89 90 90 RH..................100 84 71 60 55 61 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 12 SW 11 SW 12 SW 12 SW 14 SW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 25 25 25 25 LVORI...............5 4 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...FREDERICK REQUESTED BY...GARY M CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110622.PAINS.01/MHX