FNUS72 KJAX 231929
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESPANOLA...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
329 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1522 EDT ON JUNE 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHEAST REGION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHICH WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND
HIGH CHANCES OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.

WEST TO SOUTHWEST PREVAILING FLOW IS EXPECTED WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS
LESS THAN 15 MPH. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST NEAR THE ATLANTIC COAST IN
THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENING WITH THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WITH SPEEDS
NEAR 15 MPH AT TIMES. WINDS WILL ALSO BE HIGHER AND GUSTY NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN
                    THE EVENING. PATCHY SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT...MAINLY EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........72     72     72     72     56     56
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM SMOKE  SMOKE
TEMP............89     85     80     78     77     75
RH..............59     68     77     82     87     91
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 3   S 3    SW 2   SW 1   SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5400   4200   4200   2300   300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8   W 6    W 6    SW 3   S 3    S 3
LVORI...........7      7      7      7      7      7
DISPERSION INDX.26     3      3      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     30     30     30     10     10
LAL.............4      3      3      3      1      1

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....24.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........56     52     52     52     77     77
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE  TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............74     76     84     89     92     91
RH..............95     91     71     61     56     57
20 FT WIND......SW 1   SW 3   SW 5   SW 3   SE 2   E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5             5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   4000   4000   4900   5800   5800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5    SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
DISPERSION INDX.2      28     22     33     25     25
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     30     30     30     60     60
LAL.............1      3      3      3      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...DUANE WEIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110623.ESPAN.02/JAX