FNUS72 KMHX 231011 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 611 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0601 EDT ON JUNE 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OFFSHORE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS TO THE WEST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 27 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............58 54 54 54 54 54 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TEMP................78 77 81 85 89 87 RH..................98 91 80 71 62 64 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 10 SW 10 SW 11 SW 12 SW 14 SW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 20 20 25 25 LVORI...............5 5 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 27 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............52 52 54 57 59 59 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................85 82 80 79 78 77 RH..................70 77 82 87 87 88 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 15 SW 15 SW 14 SW 14 SW 12 SW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 20 15 LVORI...............3 4 4 4 4 4 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 26 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............59 60 56 52 49 51 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................76 79 81 84 85 86 RH..................90 80 73 67 64 63 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 11 SW 11 SW 10 SW 11 SW 12 SW 16 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 20 25 LVORI...............4 3 3 3 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 3 4 4 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...FREDERICK REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110623.PAINS.01/MHX