FNUS72 KMHX 231810 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 210 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1338 EDT ON JUNE 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OFFSHORE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS TO THE WEST. A BACKDOOR COLD MAY DROP INTO NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY BEFORE PUSHING BACK NORTH OF THE AREA ON MONDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MANLY THIS EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 26 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............58 57 64 73 79 76 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................85 83 81 79 78 77 RH..................70 76 83 87 88 89 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 17 S 17 SW 17 SW 16 SW 15 SW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 30 25 25 25 20 LVORI...............3 3 4 4 4 5 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 4 3 ADI.................24 27 33 25 19 23 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............70 65 64 63 61 59 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................76 79 82 85 86 86 RH..................90 81 71 65 63 63 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 12 SW 12 SW 12 SW 14 SW 15 SW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 25 25 LVORI...............5 4 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 4 3 3 4 3 ADI.................27 19 31 78 78 75 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 31 MPH...DECREASING TO 16 TO 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............56 54 55 56 56 51 WEATHER COV.........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP................84 81 80 79 78 77 RH..................67 75 79 82 81 84 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 16 SW 16 SW 15 SW 15 SW 14 SW 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 25 25 25 20 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 3 4 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 4 ADI.................67 49 38 24 23 19 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............45 40 47 57 64 61 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................78 79 82 85 86 86 RH..................80 78 66 60 56 57 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 10 W 8 W 8 SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 20 20 LVORI...............4 4 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 5 4 ADI.................16 20 37 42 43 37 $$ FORECASTER...CULLEN REQUESTED BY...GARY CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110623.PAINS.02/MHX