FNUS72 KILM 241953 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 353 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1521 EDT ON JUNE 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WEST-SOUTHWEST LOW-LEVEL JET WILL INCREASE TO 30-40 MPH DURING TONIGHT. LIGHTER SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AS A WEAK FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR SATURDAY NIGHT IS LOW...AS THE FRONT WILL GET VERY NEAR THE FIRE BEFORE LIFTING BACK TO THE NORTH ON SUNDAY. A PERIOD OF LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AND POOR SMOKE DISPERSION IS EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT RAIN WILL BE ON MONDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 900-1300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............49 39 42 48 52 49 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................88 83 80 78 76 75 RH..................61 71 78 83 87 89 20 FT WIND..........SW 9 SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 7 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 15 10 10 10 10 ADI.................55 34 31 20 20 18 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 4 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5900-6700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 5 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............47 45 39 35 29 28 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................74 76 83 88 90 90 RH..................92 85 65 52 47 47 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 W 5 W 5 W 5 SW 6 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 4 W 4 W 4 W 4 SW 5 SW 5 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 10 10 15 15 ADI.................14 12 7 47 52 40 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............28 30 31 33 34 35 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP................88 83 77 75 74 73 RH..................52 64 77 85 87 88 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 6 SW 5 SW 4 SW 4 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 3 SW 3 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 10 10 5 5 5 ADI.................43 40 30 7 6 5 LVORI...............1 1 3 4 5 6 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5300-6100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............36 38 37 37 36 42 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................74 76 84 89 90 90 RH..................88 84 63 54 52 55 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 W 2 SE 2 SE 2 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 1 W 2 SE 1 SE 2 S 4 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 10 10 ADI.................4 2 2 27 29 56 LVORI...............6 5 3 2 2 1 $$ FORECASTER...STEVE REQUESTED BY...GARY CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110624.JUNIP.01/ILM