FNUS72 KILM 241619
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1219 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1208 EDT ON JUNE 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WESTERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BACK TO SOUTHWEST BY MID-AFTERNOON AS
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE
BEST CHANCE AFTER 4 PM.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL BY
                    MID-AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............48     53     53
WEATHER COV.........              S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   TSTORM
TEMP................87     91     92
RH..................58     47     43
20 FT WIND..........SW 8   SW 9   SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....18     18     18
EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 6   SW 7   SW 7
EYE LVL WND GST.....18     18     18

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200-1100 FT AGL AFTER SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 7 MPH DECREASING TO 4 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............55     57     57     55     50     48
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP................90     85     80     76     73     71
RH..................45     55     70     81     85     88
20 FT WIND..........SW 9   SW 6   S 6    SW 6   SW 5   W 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     10     10     5
EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 7   SW 5   S 5    SW 4   SW 4   W 3
EYE LVL WND GST.....15     15     15     10     10     5

$$
FORECASTER...STEVE
REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110624.SIMMO.02/ILM