FNUS72 KMHX 241018 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 617 AM EDT FRI JUN 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0602 EDT ON JUNE 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OFFSHORE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A FRONT STALLS OVER NORTH CAROLINA AND EVENTUALLY WEAKENS. TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS TO THE WEST. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MAY DROP INTO NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY BEFORE PUSHING BACK NORTH OF THE AREA ON MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............70 65 64 63 61 59 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................77 79 82 85 86 86 RH..................89 81 72 64 62 62 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 11 SW 12 SW 14 SW 14 SW 17 SW 18 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 25 25 30 30 LVORI...............4 3 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 3 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH...DECREASING TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............56 54 55 55 56 49 WEATHER COV.........S CHC SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP................85 83 81 80 80 79 RH..................64 71 76 80 81 80 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 18 SW 14 SW 14 SW 14 SW 12 SW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 25 25 25 25 25 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 4 4 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............39 32 32 31 31 31 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................78 79 82 85 86 86 RH..................82 76 65 55 51 50 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 12 SW 10 W 7 W 6 W 5 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 20 15 10 10 LVORI...............4 3 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...ELARDO REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110624.PAINS.01/MHX