FNUS75 KPUB 250307
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCKETT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
907 PM MDT FRI JUN 24 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

DRY AND VERY WARM TO HOT LATE JUNE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE OVER THE BURN SITE THROUGH SATURDAY AS UPPER HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST
TEXAS THROUGH THIS TIME-FRAME. IN ADDITION...DRY WESTERLY
FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST
SUNDAY WITH THE WINDS PROJECTED TO INCREASE AND BECOME MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY ON SUNDAY. THE EXISTING DRY CONDITIONS...COMBINED
WITH THE INCREASING WINDS AND LOW MINIMUM HUMIDITY LEVELS HAS
PROMPTED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH OVER THE BURN SITE FOR POTENTIAL
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING. INCREASING CHANCES FOR POTENTIALLY BENEFICIAL
PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
AS A SURFACE COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE EASTERN COLORADO
PLAINS.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-53F.
MAX HUMIDITY........22-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH LOCALIZED WIND
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 0300.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-93F.
MIN HUMIDITY........2-9 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH WITH LOCALIZED
                    WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH AT TIMES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 18500 FT AGL AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(34 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-53F.
MAX HUMIDITY........21-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH WITH LOCALIZED
                    WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH AT TIMES UNTIL 2300
                    ...THEN NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 0300.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
$$

REQUESTED BY...SHELLY CROOK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110624.DUCKE.02/PUB