FNUS75 KBOU 251540 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD SCHOOL...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 924 AM MDT SAT JUN 25 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE AREA WILL KEEP WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS TODAY SHOULD START OUT IN A LIGHT UPSLOPE FASHION...AND THEN TRANSITION TO SOUTHWESTERLIES BY LATE AFTERNOON AS MIXING INCREASES. THERE IS JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ON SUNDAY...THE FLOW ALOFT INCREASES WHICH WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE BURN SITE. THE STRONGER WINDS IN COMBINATION WITH VERY WARM TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES BELOW 15 PERCENT WILL INCREASE FIRE DANGER AND THREAT OF FASTER FIRE GROWTH. WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. COOLER TEMPERATURES...HIGHER HUMIDITIES...AND LIGHTER WINDS CAN THEN BE EXPECTED MONDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHWEST 8-14 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO 13400-14000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 2400...THEN CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50. MAX HUMIDITY........48%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......13200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...QUICKLY DECREASING BELOW 1000 FT AGL BY 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....81. MIN HUMIDITY........13%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 16-26 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...INCREASING TO 11200-12200 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT AFTER 1000. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR OLD SCHOOL. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/25-09 19 0 0 68 44 E 4 8 3 1 W35 5244 W13 56069 F 06/25-10 14 0 0 71 36 E 6 9 3 1 W31 8028 W14 110056 V 06/25-11 9 0 0 75 29 E 7 11 3 1 W28 10812 W16 164042 E 06/25-12 14 0 0 78 24 E 8 12 3 1 W25 13596 SW18 218029 E 06/25-13 14 0 0 78 22 SE 8 13 3 1 W24 13719 SW20 230128 E 06/25-14 44 15 3 79 20 SE 8 13 3 3 W25 13842 SW20 242228 E 06/25-15 44 15 3 79 18 SE 9 15 3 3 W25 13965 W21 254327 E 06/25-16 44 15 3 79 18 SW10 17 3 3 W25 13695 W21 246229 E 06/25-17 44 15 3 79 18 SW12 19 3 3 W24 13426 SW21 238132 E 06/25-18 41 15 3 79 18 SW10 18 3 3 SW24 13157 SW20 230034 E 06/25-19 41 15 3 74 22 SW10 16 3 3 W24 8871 SW16 154068 E 06/25-20 41 15 3 67 30 SW 8 8 4 3 W25 4585 SW13 78102 G 06/25-21 41 15 3 61 38 SW 6 6 4 3 W26 299 SW 8 2135 P 06/25-22 41 15 3 57 43 SW 3 3 4 3 W30 243 SW 7 1573 P 06/25-23 41 15 3 55 45 S 2 2 5 3 W33 187 SW 6 1010 P 06/26-00 3 0 0 54 46 S 2 2 5 1 W36 131 S 3 448 P 06/26-01 3 0 0 53 47 SW 3 3 5 1 W38 122 SW 6 606 P 06/26-02 3 0 0 52 48 SW 7 7 5 1 W38 113 SW 8 765 P 06/26-03 3 0 0 52 48 W 9 14 5 1 W38 103 SW10 924 P 06/26-04 3 0 0 50 47 W12 17 5 1 W37 107 SW13 1184 P 06/26-05 3 0 0 50 45 W13 20 5 1 W35 110 W15 1444 P 06/26-06 14 0 0 50 41 W14 21 5 1 SW33 113 W17 1704 P 06/26-07 14 0 0 56 33 W14 21 5 1 SW30 1693 W25 59158 F 06/26-08 14 0 0 63 25 W14 21 5 1 SW28 3272 W33 116613 V 06/26-09 14 0 0 71 18 W14 21 5 1 SW26 4852 W41 174068 E 06/26-10 14 0 0 76 15 W15 22 5 1 SW28 6483 W38 206328 E 06/26-11 14 0 0 77 14 W16 24 5 1 SW29 8114 W35 238589 E 06/26-12 38 0 0 79 13 W17 26 5 1 W31 9745 W32 270850 E 06/26-13 38 0 0 79 14 W18 29 5 1 W33 10498 W31 277560 E 06/26-14 38 0 0 80 13 W21 31 4 1 W35 11250 W29 284269 E 06/26-15 38 4 1 81 13 W22 33 4 1 W36 12002 W28 290979 E 06/26-16 38 4 1 80 13 W23 35 4 1 W37 12219 W29 309351 E 06/26-17 38 4 1 81 13 W23 35 4 1 W39 12436 W30 327724 E 06/26-18 38 4 1 80 14 W23 35 4 1 W39 12653 W31 346097 E 06/26-19 38 4 1 75 17 W22 33 4 1 W39 8516 W29 232408 E 06/26-20 38 4 1 68 22 W21 31 4 1 W38 4379 W26 118719 V 06/26-21 38 4 1 61 29 W20 30 4 1 W36 242 W24 5030 P 06/26-22 38 4 1 57 36 W17 26 5 1 W41 256 W23 5428 P 06/26-23 38 4 1 55 40 NW16 23 4 1 W44 226 W20 4047 P 06/27-00 14 4 1 54 44 NW14 21 4 1 W45 196 NW16 2666 P 06/27-01 14 4 1 53 46 NW13 18 4 1 W45 218 NW15 2701 P 06/27-02 14 4 1 52 48 W12 17 3 1 W45 240 NW14 2735 P 06/27-03 14 4 1 51 50 W10 16 3 1 W46 262 NW13 2770 P 06/27-04 14 5 1 50 53 W10 15 3 1 W49 311 NW13 3447 P 06/27-05 14 5 1 49 55 W 9 15 2 1 W53 360 NW13 4125 P 06/27-06 14 5 1 50 54 W 9 14 2 1 W55 409 NW14 4803 P 06/27-07 14 5 1 55 45 NW 8 8 2 1 W53 3134 W16 56779 F 06/27-08 14 5 1 62 36 N 7 7 2 1 W49 5858 W18 108754 V 06/27-09 14 5 1 70 28 N 6 6 2 1 W46 8583 W22 160730 E 06/27-10 14 5 1 74 25 NE 7 7 2 1 W46 9370 W22 173124 E 06/27-11 14 5 1 76 24 E 9 14 2 1 W46 10156 W21 185518 E 06/27-12 51 28 8 78 23 E10 16 2 4 W45 10943 W21 197912 E 06/27-13 51 28 8 77 23 E 8 8 2 4 W44 11561 W22 216384 E 06/27-14 51 28 8 79 22 SE 6 6 2 4 W41 12179 W22 234856 E 06/27-15 51 28 8 79 22 SE 3 3 2 4 W40 12797 W23 253328 E 06/27-16 51 28 8 79 22 SE 3 3 2 4 W40 12955 W23 253572 E 06/27-17 51 28 8 79 21 SE 5 5 2 4 W41 13113 W22 253816 E 06/27-18 51 28 8 78 22 SE 6 6 2 4 W43 13271 W22 254060 E 06/27-19 51 28 8 74 27 SE 6 6 2 4 W44 10005 SW18 181576 E 06/27-20 51 28 8 67 36 SE 6 6 3 4 W45 6739 SW15 109093 V 06/27-21 51 28 8 61 46 SE 6 6 3 4 W45 3473 S13 36609 P 06/27-22 51 28 8 57 55 SE 6 6 3 4 W44 2808 S13 30006 P 06/27-23 51 28 8 55 62 S 6 6 3 4 W41 2143 S13 23403 P 06/28-00 15 5 1 54 66 S 6 6 3 1 W39 1478 S13 16800 P 06/28-01 15 5 1 53 68 S 6 6 3 1 W38 1205 S12 12864 P 06/28-02 15 5 1 52 69 S 6 6 4 1 W36 932 S10 8929 P 06/28-03 15 5 1 51 70 S 6 6 4 1 W35 658 S 9 4993 P 06/28-04 15 5 1 50 73 S 6 6 4 1 W35 527 S 8 3915 P 06/28-05 15 5 1 49 74 S 7 7 4 1 W33 396 S 8 2838 P 06/28-06 15 5 1 50 71 SW 7 7 4 1 W33 264 S 8 1761 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ANNE BAXTER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110625.OLDSC.01/BOU