FNUS75 KBOU 261008 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR MTN FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 408 AM MDT SUN JUN 26 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOWER HUMIDITY LEVELS. WINDS WILL BE WEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH BY LATE MORNING WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77. MIN HUMIDITY........13%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8600-9600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50. MAX HUMIDITY........60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2400. DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH AFTER 0300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN EAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 6200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1200-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0100...THEN 1600-2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72. MIN HUMIDITY........30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTH 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9600-10600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TAYLOR MTNFIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/26-04 3 0 0 49 42 W12 20 3 1 W46 152 W15 1930 P 06/26-05 3 0 0 49 41 W12 18 4 1 W44 165 W15 2172 P 06/26-06 6 0 0 49 41 W12 18 4 1 W41 177 W16 2414 P 06/26-07 6 0 0 55 32 W12 20 4 1 W40 1899 W24 63918 G 06/26-08 6 0 0 60 26 W13 21 4 1 W39 3621 W32 125423 V 06/26-09 6 0 0 66 20 W14 22 4 1 W38 5342 W40 186927 E 06/26-10 6 0 0 70 17 W14 23 4 1 W38 6801 W39 228212 E 06/26-11 6 0 0 73 15 W15 23 4 1 W38 8260 W38 269498 E 06/26-12 31 0 0 75 14 W15 24 4 1 W38 9718 W37 310783 E 06/26-13 31 0 0 75 13 W15 24 4 1 W38 9665 W36 296595 E 06/26-14 31 0 0 75 13 W16 25 3 1 W38 9611 W33 282408 E 06/26-15 31 1 0 74 13 W16 25 3 1 W39 9558 W32 268221 E 06/26-16 31 1 0 76 13 W16 26 3 1 W40 9197 W33 262909 E 06/26-17 31 1 0 74 13 W16 26 3 1 W43 8836 W33 257597 E 06/26-18 37 1 0 72 15 W16 25 3 1 W44 8475 W35 252285 E 06/26-19 37 1 0 70 17 W15 23 3 1 W44 6197 W32 181943 E 06/26-20 37 1 0 66 20 W13 20 3 1 W44 3919 W31 111602 V 06/26-21 37 1 0 60 25 W10 16 3 1 W41 1642 W29 41261 F 06/26-22 37 1 0 59 28 W 9 15 3 1 W39 1204 W22 28282 P 06/26-23 37 1 0 57 32 W 8 13 3 1 W36 766 NW15 15304 P 06/27-00 11 0 0 56 35 W 7 7 3 1 W35 328 NW 8 2326 P 06/27-01 11 0 0 55 39 NW 6 6 3 1 W36 963 N 7 4627 P 06/27-02 11 0 0 53 44 NW 3 3 2 1 W39 1598 E 6 6929 P 06/27-03 29 0 0 51 51 N 2 2 2 1 W43 2233 E 5 9230 P 06/27-04 29 0 0 50 56 NW 2 2 2 1 W44 2521 SE 5 9807 P 06/27-05 29 0 0 50 59 W 2 2 2 1 W44 2809 S 5 10384 P 06/27-06 49 5 1 50 60 W 2 2 2 1 W44 3097 S 5 10961 P 06/27-07 49 5 1 55 51 SW 3 3 2 1 W43 4011 S 8 32896 P 06/27-08 49 5 1 59 44 S 5 5 2 1 W40 4924 SW12 54832 F 06/27-09 49 5 1 64 37 S 6 6 2 1 W38 5837 W15 76768 G 06/27-10 49 5 1 67 33 S 7 7 2 1 W33 8219 SW14 104512 V 06/27-11 49 5 1 70 31 SE 8 8 3 1 W32 9770 SW16 138397 V 06/27-12 60 28 8 71 31 SE 8 13 3 4 W32 11322 SW17 172282 E 06/27-13 60 28 8 72 30 SE 8 13 3 4 W31 11229 SW17 168536 E 06/27-14 60 28 8 71 31 S 7 7 3 4 W31 11136 SW17 164789 E 06/27-15 60 28 8 71 31 S 7 7 3 4 W31 11043 SW17 161042 E 06/27-16 60 28 8 72 30 S 8 8 3 4 W30 10022 SW15 137061 V 06/27-17 60 28 8 71 32 S 8 14 3 4 W30 9001 SW14 113079 V 06/27-18 62 28 8 69 35 S 9 15 3 4 W30 7979 SW13 89098 G 06/27-19 62 28 8 67 39 S 9 15 3 4 W31 5743 S12 62849 G 06/27-20 62 28 8 63 47 S 8 14 3 4 W33 3507 S10 36600 P 06/27-21 62 28 8 59 57 S 8 13 3 4 W37 1271 S 9 10351 P 06/27-22 62 28 8 57 65 S 8 13 3 4 W39 1014 S 9 7967 P 06/27-23 62 28 8 55 71 SW 8 13 3 4 W41 757 SW 8 5583 P 06/28-00 13 0 0 54 75 SW 8 13 3 1 W43 500 SW 7 3199 P 06/28-01 13 0 0 53 76 SW 9 14 3 1 W43 398 SW 8 2696 P 06/28-02 13 0 0 51 77 W 9 15 3 1 W41 296 W 9 2194 P 06/28-03 13 0 0 49 79 W10 16 3 1 W40 193 W10 1692 P 06/28-04 13 0 0 48 77 W12 18 3 1 W39 181 W10 1691 P 06/28-05 13 0 0 48 73 W13 21 4 1 W38 169 W12 1691 P 06/28-06 12 0 0 48 69 W13 21 4 1 W38 158 W13 1690 P 06/28-07 12 0 0 54 54 W 9 15 4 1 W37 784 W12 6824 P 06/28-08 12 0 0 60 44 S 6 6 4 1 W36 1409 W10 11957 P 06/28-09 12 0 0 66 35 S 2 2 4 1 W35 2035 W 9 17091 P 06/28-10 12 0 0 70 29 S 2 2 4 1 W33 5198 W14 84805 G 06/28-11 12 0 0 74 26 SW 5 5 3 1 W32 8360 W18 152520 E 06/28-12 55 10 2 75 24 SW 7 7 3 2 W31 11522 W22 220234 E 06/28-13 55 10 2 76 24 SW 9 14 3 2 W30 11051 W22 210241 E 06/28-14 55 10 2 76 25 SW10 16 4 2 W29 10580 W22 200247 E 06/28-15 55 10 2 75 25 W12 18 4 2 W28 10109 W22 190253 E 06/28-16 55 10 2 77 25 W12 18 4 2 W26 8318 W21 152746 E 06/28-17 55 10 2 76 26 W12 17 4 2 W25 6527 W20 115239 V 06/28-18 55 10 2 73 29 W10 16 4 2 W24 4736 W18 77732 G 06/28-19 55 10 2 71 30 W 9 15 4 2 W25 3222 W16 52355 F 06/28-20 55 10 2 68 34 W 9 14 4 2 W26 1708 W13 26978 P 06/28-21 55 10 2 63 40 W 8 13 4 2 W28 194 W 9 1600 P 06/28-22 55 10 2 61 42 W 7 7 4 2 W30 188 W 9 1427 P 06/28-23 55 10 2 59 44 SW 7 7 4 2 W31 182 W 8 1254 P 06/29-00 16 5 1 58 45 SW 7 7 4 1 W31 176 W 7 1081 P 06/29-01 16 5 1 57 45 SW 7 7 4 1 W30 163 W 8 1107 P 06/29-02 16 5 1 56 47 W 8 14 4 1 W26 150 W 9 1133 P 06/29-03 16 5 1 54 50 W 9 15 4 1 W23 138 W 9 1159 P 06/29-04 16 5 1 53 50 W10 16 4 1 W21 140 W10 1231 P 06/29-05 16 5 1 53 50 W10 16 4 1 W18 142 W10 1304 P 06/29-06 16 5 1 53 50 W10 16 4 1 W15 144 W12 1377 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GARY BATCHELDER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110625.TAYLO.02/BOU