FNUS72 KILM 252059 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 459 PM EDT SAT JUN 25 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1620 EDT ON JUNE 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EAST INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND SHIFT OFF THE COAST SUNDAY MORNING RESULTING IN A WEAK WIND SHIFT. THE TROUGH WILL DISSIPATE AS THE SEA BREEZE ON SUNDAY TURNS THE WINDS ONSHORE ONCE AGAIN DURING THE DAY. A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN WILL PERSIST WITH THE UPPER PATTERN BRINGING A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-6700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. TIME (EDT) 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............34 38 42 41 41 40 41 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................93 91 85 81 77 76 74 RH..................42 49 62 74 83 88 94 20 FT WIND..........SW 7 SW 7 SW 6 S 5 S 5 SW 5 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 10 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 S 4 S 4 SW 4 SW 3 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 15 10 10 10 10 5 ADI.................48 44 27 7 4 4 4 LVORI............... 1 1 2 4 5 5 6 SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............41 42 41 41 41 44 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................73 77 82 88 91 90 RH..................100 93 73 58 51 53 20 FT WIND..........SW 3 W 2 S 2 S 2 S 4 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 2 W 2 S 1 S 2 S 3 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 5 10 ADI.................43 1 3 22 36 38 LVORI...............9 7 3 2 1 1 .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............48 51 46 39 33 41 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP................88 83 80 78 77 76 RH..................57 67 74 81 87 91 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 4 S 4 S 3 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 4 S 3 S 3 S 2 S 2 S 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 5 5 5 5 5 ADI.................38 21 7 3 3 2 LVORI...............1 3 3 5 6 6 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-6900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH...INCREASING TO 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............50 57 57 57 57 60 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................75 78 84 89 91 91 RH..................96 85 69 57 52 54 20 FT WIND..........S 2 SW 2 S 3 S 5 S 6 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 10 10 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 2 SW 2 S 2 S 4 S 5 S 6 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 10 10 15 ADI.................3 2 2 14 26 36 LVORI...............8 5 3 2 2 1 $$ FORECASTER...HOEHLER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110625.JUNIP.02/ILM