FNUS72 KILM 252315 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR LIZZIE HENRY ROAD FIRE...PENDER COUNTY EMA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 715 PM EDT SAT JUN 25 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1849 EDT ON JUNE 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE WINDOW OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING IS QUICKLY CLOSING...OTHERWISE A PARTLY CLOUDY NIGHT CAN BE EXPECTED. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA TONIGHT...THEN SHIFT OFF THE COAST SUNDAY MORNING ALLOWING FOR A WEAK WIND SHIFT. THE TROUGH WILL DISSIPATE AS THE SEA BREEZE ON SUNDAY TURNS THE WINDS ONSHORE ONCE AGAIN DURING THE DAY. A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK WITH DIURNALLY INDUCED ISOLATED CONVECTION EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE AREA NEXT WEEK COULD FURTHER INCREASE THE AREAL COVERAGE OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............39 39 39 38 38 37 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................86 81 77 75 73 72 RH..................56 69 80 86 93 100 20 FT WIND..........W 5 N 3 E 2 S 2 S 2 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......W 4 N 2 E 1 S 2 S 2 W 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 5 5 5 5 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............36 35 37 39 41 43 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................71 75 82 88 91 90 RH..................100 95 71 54 46 48 20 FT WIND..........W 2 NW 1 S 1 SE 1 S 2 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......W 1 NW 1 S 1 SE 1 S 2 S 2 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............46 49 44 38 33 40 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP................88 83 80 77 76 75 RH..................53 64 73 80 86 91 20 FT WIND..........S 3 S 3 S 3 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 1 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 5 5 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............49 56 56 56 56 60 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................73 77 84 89 92 92 RH..................96 83 65 52 47 49 20 FT WIND..........S 2 SW 2 S 2 S 3 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 1 SW 2 S 2 S 2 S 4 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 5 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...HOEHLER REQUESTED BY...TOM COLLINS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110625.LIZZI.01/ILM