FNUS72 KJAX 252016 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR ESPANOLA...DOF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 416 PM EDT SAT JUN 25 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1610 EDT ON JUNE 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST REGION THIS WEEKEND WILL KEEP MOISTURE LEVELS HIGH AND PROVIDE FOCUS FOR INCREASED CHANCES OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. WEST TO SOUTHWEST PREVAILING FLOW IS EXPECTED WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS LESS THAN 15 MPH. WINDS WILL BECOME SSE NEAR THE ATLANTIC COAST EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL INCREASE WIND SPEEDS TO NEAR 15 MPH AT TIMES. WINDS WILL ALSO BE HIGHER AND GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. OUTFLOWS FROM THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN SHIFTS IN WIND DIRECTION. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1100 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. DISPERSION INDEX....2. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........84 61 61 61 46 46 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............85 81 77 75 74 73 RH..............65 74 82 87 91 96 20 FT WIND......SW 7 S 6 S 6 SW 5 SW 3 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 1800 1800 1000 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 S 10 S 10 S 8 SW 6 SW 6 LVORI...........6 6 6 6 6 6 DISPERSION INDX.35 7 7 5 3 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 20 20 20 10 10 LAL.............4 2 2 2 1 1 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 9 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....21. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........46 44 44 44 67 67 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............72 75 84 91 93 92 RH..............99 91 66 55 51 53 20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 2 SW 3 SW 3 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1900 1900 4400 6900 6900 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 W 9 W 9 W 7 W 6 W 6 DISPERSION INDX.3 23 23 36 20 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 50 50 LAL.............1 2 2 2 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...LS REQUESTED BY...DUANE WEIS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110625.ESPAN.02/JAX