FNUS72 KMHX 251812 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 212 PM EDT SAT JUN 25 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1405 EDT ON JUNE 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK COLD FRONT IN EASTERN NC WILL WEAKEN AS IT REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FRONT WILL REINTENSIFY MONDAY AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO BUILD BACK IN FRIDAY. A FRONT WILL AFFECT THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-5800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH. LVORI...............1. TIME (EDT) 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............42 33 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................89 90 RH..................52 49 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 12 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 LVORI...............1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 17 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............24 27 27 27 27 31 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP................87 83 80 78 76 75 RH..................53 64 70 76 81 82 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 11 SW 11 SW 12 SW 10 SW 5 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 15 5 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 4 4 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 3 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4500-6100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............34 37 34 31 28 36 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................74 78 81 85 86 85 RH..................86 77 68 59 56 59 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 3 N 4 N 5 N 5 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 LVORI...............5 3 3 1 2 2 HAINES INDEX........3 4 3 3 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...GOODALL REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110625.PAINS.02/MHX