FNUS72 KMHX 251848 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 248 PM EDT SAT JUN 25 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1405 EDT ON JUNE 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK COLD FRONT IN EASTERN NC WILL WEAKEN AS IT REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FRONT WILL REINTENSIFY MONDAY AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO BUILD BACK IN FRIDAY. A FRONT WILL AFFECT THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 14 MPH LATE. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............43 40 42 42 38 30 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................87 84 81 78 76 75 RH..................58 66 74 79 82 82 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 11 SW 11 SW 12 SW 10 SW 5 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 15 5 LVORI...............1 3 3 3 4 4 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING EAST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............26 23 23 25 33 39 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................75 76 79 83 85 86 RH..................81 76 68 61 57 57 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 3 N 4 N 5 N 5 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 LVORI...............5 4 3 3 2 2 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 3 .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............41 43 39 36 32 38 WEATHER COV.........S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................84 80 77 75 75 75 RH..................62 71 80 87 87 85 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 5 NE 5 E 5 S 4 S 3 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 LVORI...............3 3 4 6 6 6 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH . MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-4500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............45 51 52 54 55 54 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................76 78 81 85 87 88 RH..................83 79 71 64 62 60 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 3 S 4 S 5 SE 8 SE 9 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 15 15 15 LVORI...............5 4 3 3 2 2 HAINES INDEX........3 4 3 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...GOODALL REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110625.PAINS.02/MHX