FNUS75 KPUB 252149
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCKETT...PIDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
349 PM MDT SAT JUN 25 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...

LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING WITH
POOR RECOVERIES EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.  GUSTY WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO
THE AREA ON SUNDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON.
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO BELOW 10 PERCENT...AND COMBINED WITH
GUSTY WINDS AND DRY FUELS...WILL LEAD TO VOLATILE CONDITIONS FOR
FUEL GROWTH. HAINES VALUES WILL BE AROUND 6...WHICH WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  HUMIDITY VALUES
MAY BE SLOW TO RECOVER SUNDAY NIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA MONDAY MORNING BRINGING
HIGHER HUMIDITIES ALONG WITH SOME ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A
WETTING RAINFALL.  WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE EAST BEHIND THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE MONDAY MORNING WITH BETTER HUMIDITY RECOVERIES
EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER ROUND OF
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME WETTING RAINS IF STORMS CAN DEVELOP OVER THE
BURN AREA.

.DISCUSSION...

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53F.
MAX HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 14-24 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    WEST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2200.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-88F.
MIN HUMIDITY........3-8 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 11-15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100. 12000 FEET AGL BY
                    1400.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110625.DUCKE.01/PUB