FNUS75 KABQ 262150
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR COCHITI FIRE...LANL EMERGENCY MANANGER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
350 PM MDT SUN JUN 26 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

DISCUSSION...
STRONG WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY
EVENING. WHEN COMBINED WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST UNTIL SUNSET. OVERNIGHT POOR RH RECOVERIES
ARE EXPECTED. WINDS WILL DECREASE SOME ON MONDAY AND BECOME WEST TO
SOUTHWEST. ADDITIONALLY...AFTERNOON HIGH BASED BUILDUPS ARE POSSIBLE
PRODUCING SOME LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOWS. A FRONT MOVING THROUGH
THE EASTERN PLAINS ON MONDAY COULD PRODUCE GUSTY SOUTHEAST CANYON
WINDS THAT REACH THE BURN SITE MONDAY EVENING.

FOR THIS AFTERNOON
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CUMULUS BUILDUPS OVER THE
                       BURN AREA.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79-84.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 6-10 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 18 TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                       GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR ACTIVE FIRE.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......13500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 35 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/472500 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/268065 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/413667 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLEAR.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47-51.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 24-27 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 12 TO 22 MPH GUSTY WINDS UP TO
                       30 MPH. NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT
                       WITH BRIEF GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

FOR MONDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY
                       CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......5 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77-82.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 12-15 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO
                       WEST 12 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                       GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......17500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 18 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/315000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/187531 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/286049 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...24

$$

REQUESTED BY...MANNY L ESPERANCE
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110626.COCHI.01/ABQ