FNUS72 KMHX 261859 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 259 PM EDT SUN JUN 26 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1447 EDT ON JUNE 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE AREA WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTH ATLANTIC THROUGH THE PERIOD. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. IT WILL BECOME STATIONARY OVER THE AREA THURSDAY AND DISSPIATE FRIDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............44 47 55 64 72 71 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................83 80 77 76 76 76 RH..................57 67 78 82 82 83 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 7 S 7 S 7 S 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 LVORI...............2 3 4 4 4 4 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............71 71 69 67 65 65 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................76 78 81 84 85 84 RH..................85 81 68 63 65 66 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 S 8 S 9 S 9 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 15 LVORI...............5 4 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 3 3 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-600 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............64 63 63 64 64 61 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................82 82 80 79 78 78 RH..................68 72 78 81 83 86 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 9 S 8 SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 10 10 10 LVORI...............3 3 3 4 4 5 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 4 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............57 54 58 63 67 73 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................77 79 83 86 88 88 RH..................89 85 77 69 68 68 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 7 SW 8 SW 10 SW 12 SW 14 SW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 20 25 25 25 LVORI...............5 5 4 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...DAIL REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110626.PAINS.02/MHX