FNUS75 KPUB 271031
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR FIRE...FORT CARSON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
431 AM MDT MON JUN 27 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO NEW MEXICO THIS MORNING. BRIEF GUSTY
NORTH WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO EASTERLY BY EARLY AFTERNOON
AND THEN BECOME SOUTHERLY. AREAS OF MORNING CLOUDS WITH SOME LIGHT
DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE...THEN THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON.

WARMER AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION TOMORROW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MORNING CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED VERY LIGHT SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    1600...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    EAST UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTH AROUND 10
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTH
                    UNTIL 1700...THEN AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100 THEN
                    VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1600...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(53 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64F.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 13-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 33 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 27 MPH UNTIL 0500...THEN AROUND 40
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR UNTIL
                    0200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0300...THEN POOR UNTIL
                    0500...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(44 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 TO 17 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 20-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 13500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 40 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...MIKE FENNEMA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110626.BEARF.01/PUB