FNUS75 KBOU 271618 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MAXWELL...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1011 AM MDT MON JUN 27 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...COOLER AND MORE MOIST AIR HAD PUSHED BACK ACROSS THE BURN SITE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING. WHILE CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED THIS MORNING...AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER CAN STILL BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WARM AND THE AIRMASS SLOWLY DESTABILIZES. THERE IS JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 PM. WINDS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON BUT STILL REMAIN LIGHT AND IN A DIURNAL SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. ON TUESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING BACK ACROSS THE AREA WILL BRING CONSIDERABLY WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...BUT THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A FEW GUSTS TO 15-20 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS DURING MAX HEATING. HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 15 PERCENT. ANOTHER VERY WARM AND DRY DAY WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-7800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....51. MAX HUMIDITY........69%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST AROUND 6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....88. MIN HUMIDITY........14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 6-11 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTH 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11000-12000 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MAXWELL. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/27-10 2 10 2 67 41 E 8 8 2 1 W37 5722 SW12 59500 F 06/27-11 12 10 2 69 38 SE 9 9 2 1 W35 6136 SW12 62546 G 06/27-12 23 22 4 71 37 SE 9 14 2 3 W33 6551 SW12 65591 G 06/27-13 33 22 4 72 35 SE 8 8 2 3 W33 7083 SW12 71424 G 06/27-14 43 22 4 73 33 SE 6 6 2 3 W35 7615 SW12 77257 G 06/27-15 53 22 4 74 33 SE 5 5 2 3 W35 8147 SW12 83091 G 06/27-16 59 22 4 74 32 SE 5 5 2 3 W33 7845 SW12 76732 G 06/27-17 59 22 4 73 34 SE 6 6 2 3 W31 7543 S10 70373 G 06/27-18 63 22 4 72 35 SE 7 7 2 3 W30 7241 S10 64014 G 06/27-19 63 22 4 71 37 SE 6 6 2 3 W31 5216 S10 45797 F 06/27-20 63 22 4 66 45 S 6 6 3 3 W32 3191 S 9 27581 P 06/27-21 63 22 4 62 53 S 5 5 3 3 W32 1167 S 9 9364 P 06/27-22 47 22 4 59 60 S 5 5 3 3 W32 869 S 8 6600 P 06/27-23 47 22 4 59 62 SW 6 6 3 3 W32 571 S 6 3836 P 06/28-00 29 0 0 57 67 SW 6 6 3 1 W32 273 S 5 1073 P 06/28-01 29 0 0 55 69 SW 6 6 3 1 W33 256 SW 5 968 P 06/28-02 14 0 0 54 69 W 6 6 3 1 W36 240 SW 5 863 P 06/28-03 14 0 0 53 68 W 6 6 3 1 W36 223 SW 3 758 P 06/28-04 14 0 0 52 68 W 6 6 4 1 W36 202 SW 5 738 P 06/28-05 14 0 0 51 65 W 6 6 5 1 W33 180 W 5 719 P 06/28-06 11 0 0 52 62 W 6 6 6 1 W31 159 W 5 699 P 06/28-07 11 0 0 57 50 NW 3 3 6 1 W29 957 W 6 5172 P 06/28-08 11 0 0 67 36 NE 2 2 6 1 W25 1755 W 6 9645 P 06/28-09 11 0 0 73 31 CALM 1 6 1 W22 2554 SW 7 14119 P 06/28-10 11 0 0 77 27 E 3 3 6 1 W23 4054 SW 9 37869 P 06/28-11 11 0 0 79 26 SE 7 7 5 1 W24 5554 W12 61620 G 06/28-12 55 10 2 81 24 SE 9 14 5 2 W25 7055 W14 85371 G 06/28-13 55 10 2 83 21 SE 9 9 5 2 W25 8430 W15 115002 V 06/28-14 55 10 2 86 18 SE 8 8 5 2 W24 9805 W16 144632 V 06/28-15 55 10 2 87 16 S 8 8 5 2 W23 11181 W18 174263 E 06/28-16 55 10 2 88 15 S10 15 5 2 W22 11815 W18 195113 E 06/28-17 55 10 2 88 14 SW13 20 4 2 W21 12450 W20 215963 E 06/28-18 55 10 2 87 14 W15 23 4 2 W21 13085 W21 236813 E 06/28-19 55 10 2 85 15 W15 23 4 2 W21 8830 W20 159520 E 06/28-20 55 10 2 78 19 W15 22 5 2 W21 4575 W18 82227 G 06/28-21 55 10 2 72 23 W14 21 5 2 W21 320 W17 4934 P 06/28-22 55 10 2 68 27 W12 18 4 2 W28 371 W13 4362 P 06/28-23 55 10 2 67 29 W10 15 4 2 W29 305 W12 3202 P 06/29-00 15 0 0 65 33 W 8 8 4 1 W30 239 W10 2043 P 06/29-01 15 0 0 62 36 W 7 7 4 1 W29 211 W 9 1770 P 06/29-02 15 0 0 60 39 W 7 7 4 1 W28 184 W 9 1497 P 06/29-03 15 0 0 59 40 W 8 8 4 1 SW25 156 W 9 1223 P 06/29-04 15 0 0 57 43 W 8 8 4 1 SW23 150 W 8 1105 P 06/29-05 15 0 0 57 42 W 9 9 4 1 SW22 145 W 8 987 P 06/29-06 15 0 0 57 41 W 9 14 4 1 SW21 139 W 7 869 P 06/29-07 15 0 0 62 34 W 8 8 4 1 SW21 454 W 8 3797 P 06/29-08 15 0 0 71 25 SW 8 8 4 1 SW22 770 SW 9 6725 P 06/29-09 15 0 0 76 21 SW 7 7 4 1 SW23 1085 SW10 9652 P 06/29-10 15 0 0 80 19 S 6 6 4 1 SW23 3388 SW13 43847 F 06/29-11 15 0 0 81 18 S 6 6 4 1 SW24 5691 SW14 78042 G 06/29-12 55 10 2 83 17 S 6 6 4 2 SW24 7994 SW16 112238 V 06/29-13 55 10 2 86 16 SE 7 7 4 2 SW25 9591 SW17 147615 V 06/29-14 55 10 2 88 15 SE 7 7 3 2 SW28 11188 SW18 182992 E 06/29-15 55 10 2 89 15 E 8 8 3 2 SW29 12785 SW20 218370 E 06/29-16 55 10 2 89 15 SE 8 8 3 2 SW30 12672 SW20 215560 E 06/29-17 55 10 2 90 15 S 7 7 3 2 SW31 12560 SW20 212750 E 06/29-18 55 10 2 89 16 SW 7 7 3 2 SW32 12447 SW20 209939 E 06/29-19 55 10 2 86 17 SW 7 7 3 2 SW33 9332 SW15 146745 V 06/29-20 55 10 2 79 22 SW 7 7 3 2 SW35 6217 SW12 83551 G 06/29-21 55 10 2 73 27 SW 7 7 3 2 SW35 3101 SW 8 20357 P 06/29-22 55 10 2 69 31 SW 7 7 3 2 SW35 2264 SW 8 15006 P 06/29-23 55 10 2 68 33 SW 8 8 3 2 SW35 1427 SW 8 9656 P 06/30-00 30 5 1 65 36 SW 8 8 3 1 SW37 589 SW 8 4305 P 06/30-01 30 5 1 63 39 SW 9 9 3 1 SW41 499 SW 9 3841 P 06/30-02 30 5 1 61 43 SW 9 14 2 1 SW46 408 SW10 3377 P 06/30-03 30 5 1 59 45 SW10 16 2 1 SW53 318 SW10 2913 P 06/30-04 30 5 1 57 49 W12 17 2 1 SW58 308 SW12 2983 P 06/30-05 30 5 1 57 49 W12 18 2 1 SW63 297 W12 3053 P 06/30-06 30 5 1 58 48 W13 20 2 1 SW68 287 W13 3124 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ANNE BAXTER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110627.MAXWE.01/BOU