FNUS72 KILM 272156 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 556 PM EDT MON JUN 27 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1724 EDT ON JUNE 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE AND A PIEDMONT TROUGH WILL PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY...RESULTING IN CONTINUED HOT AND HUMID SOUTHWEST FLOW AND THE DIURNALLY DRIVEN CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... FURTHER INCREASING THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT...POSSIBLY BRINGING A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MID EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH. LVORI...............5. ADI.................42...DECREASING TO 14. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. TIME (EDT) 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............54 65 67 66 65 65 64 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................85 85 82 79 78 77 76 RH..................74 75 80 88 91 93 94 20 FT WIND..........S 7 S 6 S 6 S 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 5 S 5 S 5 S 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 15 15 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............3 3 3 4 5 5 6 ADI.................46 37 24 14 14 14 13 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-4700 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH LATE. LVORI...............4. ADI.................15...INCREASING TO 59. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............63 70 62 52 44 58 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................77 79 83 88 90 89 RH..................93 85 73 64 60 61 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 S 8 S 9 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 20 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 4 SW 4 SW 5 S 6 S 7 SW 8 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 10 15 15 20 LVORI...............6 4 3 1 1 1 ADI.................13 11 18 41 47 62 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600-900 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH. LVORI...............3. ADI.................54...DECREASING TO 16. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............66 78 76 72 70 72 WEATHER COV.........NUMRS NUMRS CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................87 85 80 78 77 76 RH..................66 70 81 87 91 94 20 FT WIND..........SW 10 SW 9 SW 8 SW 7 SW 7 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 15 15 15 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 8 SW 7 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 EYE LVL WND GST.....20 15 15 15 15 10 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 4 5 ADI.................54 25 19 16 18 17 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BECOMING NUMEROUS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-4300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............3. ADI.................24...INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 24 LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............73 71 68 66 65 58 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................75 78 82 85 87 87 RH..................97 89 76 65 60 60 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 5 W 5 W 5 NW 4 NW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 4 SW 4 W 4 W 4 NW 3 NW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 10 10 5 5 LVORI................5 4 4 1 2 2 ADI.................21 27 23 34 30 27 $$ FORECASTER...HOEHLER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110627.JUNIP.01/ILM