FNUS72 KMHX 271002 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 602 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0553 EDT ON JUNE 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A TROF OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE STATE THROUGH TONIGHT THEN DISSIPATE TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY NIGHT AND BECOME STATIONARY ALONG THE SOUTH COAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. IT WILL LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT FRIDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL COVER THE AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE (20%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE (40%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 17 MPH. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............83 87 80 70 63 62 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................76 78 81 84 85 84 RH..................90 86 76 71 69 71 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 5 S 5 S 7 S 9 S 11 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 20 20 LVORI...............6 5 4 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE (30%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............60 59 58 58 57 59 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................82 82 80 79 78 78 RH..................76 77 82 84 87 88 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 10 S 9 SW 9 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............3 3 4 4 5 5 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE (30%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE (20%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2000-3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 21 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............63 65 54 55 55 59 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................77 79 83 86 88 87 RH..................90 85 75 69 66 68 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 9 SW 10 SW 11 SW 12 S 14 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 20 25 LVORI...............5 4 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...AUSTIN REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110627.PAINS.01/MHX