FNUS72 KMHX 271909 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 309 PM EDT MON JUN 27 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1412 EDT ON JUNE 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A TROF OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE STATE THROUGH TONIGHT THEN DISSIPATE TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY NIGHT AND BECOME STATIONARY ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF NC WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. IT WILL LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT FRIDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL COVER THE AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15 TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............49 55 57 58 57 59 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................85 82 80 79 78 78 RH..................71 77 84 86 89 88 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 10 S 9 SW 9 SW 9 SW 8 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............4 4 5 5 5 4 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-2900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............63 65 54 55 55 59 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................77 81 85 87 88 88 RH..................90 79 71 68 65 67 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 9 SW 10 SW 11 SW 12 S 14 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 20 20 25 LVORI...............5 3 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 4 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...INCREASING TO 26 TO 28 MPH LATE. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............63 65 70 78 83 78 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................85 81 80 78 77 76 RH..................72 79 83 88 88 90 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 15 S 14 SW 14 SW 12 SW 11 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 25 25 20 20 LVORI...............3 4 5 6 4 5 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............72 67 60 50 42 41 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................75 78 81 84 85 85 RH..................91 84 76 68 66 66 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 9 SW 8 W 7 W 7 NW 6 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 10 10 10 LVORI...............5 4 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...LONKA REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110627.PAINS.02/MHX