FNUS75 KRIW 281436
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP CREEK RX...BLM RAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
836 AM MDT TUE JUN 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1935 MDT ON JUNE 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY
UNDER EXITING HIGH PRESSURE. DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED. WIND WILL
EXPERIENCE A SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE AXIS OF THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
PAST THE BURN SITE. AN APPROACHING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN
INFLUENCE THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP HIGHER
WIND OVER THE BURN SITE...WITH CLOUD COVER INCREASING EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO
INTRODUCE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE BURN SITE
EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY WIND...SMALL HAIL AND PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ACCOMPANY STORM ACTIVITY WEDNESDAY.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRANHAM

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) ABOVE 8000 FT
                    AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 BELOW 8000 FT....70 TO 74 ABOVE 8000 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-21 PERCENT BELOW 8000 FT...20-24 ABOVE
                    8000 FT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH AFTER 1100...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    AFTER 1400.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AND INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER 1400.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8800-9800 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT
                    20 TO 25 MPH AFTER 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (64400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (167500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-43 BELOW 8000 FT....38-42 ABOVE 8000 FT
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT BELOW 8000 FT...69-72 PERCENT
                    ABOVE 8000 FT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO
                    30 MPH POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AFTER 0100.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 25
                    TO 30 AFTER 0200.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL BY 0200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (147500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (49000 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) AFTER 1100.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-73 BELOW 8000 FT...67-71 ABOVE 8000 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-29 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 25 MPH.. SOUTHWEST WIND THEN INCREASING
                    TO 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER 1200 WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30
                    MPH AFTER 1300.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9700-10700 FT AGL AFTER 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 35
                    MPH AFTER 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (120700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (244800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRANHAM
REQUESTED BY...PAUL  FISCHER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110627.CAMPC.03/RIW