FNUS72 KILM 282131 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 531 PM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1706 EDT ON JUNE 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST...WILL SNAKE ACROSS THE AREA BEFORE STALLING SOUTH OF THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...THEN GIVE WAY TO RIDGING FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC HIGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE BEST MEASURABLE RAINFALL OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS WILL BE TONIGHT THRU WEDNESDAY NIGHT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO 13 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............4. ADI.................64...DECREASING TO 12. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............52 60 64 66 70 71 WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................87 82 78 76 76 75 RH..................66 76 87 93 93 94 20 FT WIND..........S 10 S 10 SW 7 SW 5 S 4 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 8 S 7 SW 5 SW 4 S 3 SW 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....15 15 15 10 5 LVORI...............1 3 4 5 6 5 ADI.................64 27 15 12 9 12 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. ADI.................20. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............71 72 71 69 68 69 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................75 78 82 85 87 86 RH..................95 91 78 68 63 64 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 10 10 5 5 5 LVORI...............5 4 3 3 2 2 ADI.................16 18 20 20 18 24 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-1300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 5 MPH. LVORI...............6. ADI.................12...DECREASING TO 2. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............69 69 70 67 65 58 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP................83 79 76 74 72 71 RH..................69 80 87 91 94 94 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 SW 2 W 1 NW 1 N 2 NE 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 2 SW 1 W 1 NW 1 N 1 NE 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 LVORI...............3 4 6 7 7 7 ADI.................12 2 2 1 1 1 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-4300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH. LVORI...............5. ADI.................8...INCREASING TO 27. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............48 41 40 39 39 37 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................70 74 79 84 86 86 RH..................95 84 69 59 54 55 20 FT WIND..........NE 3 NE 4 NE 5 E 5 E 5 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......NE 2 NE 3 NE 4 E 4 E 4 SE 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............8 4 3 2 2 2 ADI.................3 6 12 17 27 27 $$ FORECASTER...HOEHLER REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110628.JUNIP.01/ILM