FNUS72 KJAX 280856 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR IMPASSABLE BAY...USDA-FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 456 AM EDT TUE JUN 28 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0448 EDT ON JUNE 28. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE SOUTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA WHILE WEAK TROUGHS PERSIST TO THE NORTH. THIS REGIME WILL CONTINUE A SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH FLOW OVER THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS WILL APPROACH THE FIRE SITE FROM THE NORTH EARLY THIS MORNING. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE... WITH INITIAL WIND SHIFTS FROM THE NORTH POSSIBLE DUE TO OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY BY AFTERNOON AS SHOWER AND STORMS BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND STRONGER. LIGHT SSW FLOW WILL PREVAIL...HOWEVER ERRATIC WIND SHIFTS WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-5000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 7 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....1 INCREASING TO 26. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LVORI...............MISSING. TIME (EDT) 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........74 67 67 67 59 62 66 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............71 70 79 87 92 93 92 RH..............97 100 96 71 59 53 56 20 FT WIND......SW 0 SW 0 SW 1 W 2 SW 2 S 3 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1800 3300 4200 4200 5000 5000 TRANSPORT WIND..W 2 W 2 W 3 NW 5 NW 5 NW 6 W 7 LVORI...........M M M M M M M DISPERSION INDX.1 1 12 18 18 24 23 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 40 40 40 60 60 LAL.............1 1 3 3 3 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....2. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........66 68 68 72 64 64 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE TEMP............88 83 79 76 75 73 RH..............60 72 83 89 92 95 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 SW 5 SW 3 SW 2 SW 1 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4300 3500 3500 1900 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..W 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 LVORI...........6 6 6 6 6 6 DISPERSION INDX.23 5 5 3 2 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 30 30 30 10 10 LAL.............4 3 3 3 1 1 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-5100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....32. $$ FORECASTER...ENYEDI REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110628.IMPAS.02/JAX