FNAK79 PAFG 301449
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 271 HASTINGS...AK-DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
649 AM AKDT THU JUN 30 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2102 AKDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR SMALL STREAMS FROM THE CHATANIKA
   RIVER BASIN NORTH THROUGH 415 PM TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE FIRE AREA WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST
FRI AND MOVE BACK TO THE FIRE AREA SAT. FLOODING WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT
ISSUE TODAY. HEAVY RAIN OF OVER 1.3 INCHES IN THE LAST 24 HOURS WILL
CAUSE SOME SMALL STREAMS TO FLOOD TODAY IN THE FIRE AREA. THIS COULD
ALSO CAUSE HEAVY EROSION. THE CHATANIKA RIVER IS NOT EXPECTED TO FLOOD
BUT WASHINGTON CREEK COULD. ANOTHER .50 INCH OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TODAY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH. GUSTS 25 MPH OVER RIDGE TOPS.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS BECOMING SCATTERED AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 11 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 MPH.
CWR.................32 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...SITL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110629.271HA.02/AFG