FNUS75 KBOU 291915 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MAXWELL...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 115 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE POTENTIAL TO BRING LIGHTNING AND GUSTY AND ERRATIC SURFACE WINDS TO THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR ANY OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING. ONE STORM WAS CURRENTLY MOVING RIGHT NEAR THE AREA...BUT OTHER STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FIRE DANGER WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY...AND COMBINED WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITIES...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES CAN THEN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL WARM AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND WITH LOWERING HUMIDITIES. WINDS SHOULD CONFORM TO TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS WITH A LIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....93. MIN HUMIDITY........12%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-11 MPH...BECOMING WEST/SOUTHWEST AFTER 1600. GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......13200-14200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....63. MAX HUMIDITY........38%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....86. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 1000-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5200 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 8800 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 11000-12000 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 7600-8600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 90. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MAXWELL. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/29-13 57 15 3 89 14 SE 8 8 4 3 S17 14452 SW12 146824 V 06/29-14 71 25 5 90 13 S 8 8 3 4 S16 14610 SW10 136971 V 06/29-15 71 25 5 92 12 S 8 8 3 4 S17 14768 S10 127118 V 06/29-16 71 25 5 89 13 SW 9 14 3 4 S20 13582 SW13 146984 V 06/29-17 71 25 5 88 13 SW10 16 3 4 SW22 12396 SW16 166851 E 06/29-18 62 24 5 87 15 W12 17 3 3 SW24 11210 SW20 186717 E 06/29-19 62 24 5 84 17 W10 15 3 3 SW25 8434 SW16 133373 V 06/29-20 62 24 5 81 21 W 8 8 4 3 SW25 5657 SW14 80028 G 06/29-21 62 24 5 78 24 W 7 7 4 3 SW26 2881 SW10 26684 P 06/29-22 62 24 5 75 27 W 7 7 4 3 SW28 2077 SW 9 18642 P 06/29-23 62 24 5 73 29 W 7 7 4 3 SW29 1273 SW 8 10601 P 06/30-00 50 5 1 71 31 W 8 8 4 1 SW30 469 SW 6 2559 P 06/30-01 50 5 1 69 34 W 8 8 4 1 SW30 375 SW 7 2103 P 06/30-02 50 5 1 68 36 W 8 8 4 1 SW28 281 SW 7 1647 P 06/30-03 50 5 1 66 38 W 8 8 4 1 SW28 186 W 7 1191 P 06/30-04 50 5 1 65 38 W 8 8 4 1 SW28 328 W12 4598 P 06/30-05 50 5 1 65 37 W 8 8 3 1 S29 470 W17 8004 P 06/30-06 67 16 3 64 38 W 8 8 3 3 S31 612 W22 11410 P 06/30-07 67 16 3 66 37 W 8 8 3 3 S35 967 SW21 17511 P 06/30-08 67 16 3 69 35 W 9 9 4 3 S39 1323 SW21 23612 P 06/30-09 67 16 3 73 31 W 9 14 4 3 SW41 1678 SW21 29713 P 06/30-10 67 16 3 78 26 SW10 15 4 3 SW39 5254 SW22 104982 V 06/30-11 67 16 3 84 20 SW12 17 3 3 SW36 8830 SW23 180252 E 06/30-12 54 10 2 86 18 SW13 20 3 2 SW33 12406 SW24 255521 E 06/30-13 54 10 2 84 18 SW15 22 3 2 SW32 10302 SW23 210983 E 06/30-14 54 10 2 80 20 SW16 25 3 2 SW32 8199 SW23 166445 E 06/30-15 54 10 2 77 22 W18 28 3 2 SW32 6096 SW23 121907 V 06/30-16 54 10 2 79 20 W20 30 3 2 SW29 8350 SW23 172912 E 06/30-17 54 10 2 82 18 SW21 31 3 2 SW36 9211 SW33 270264 E 06/30-18 8 7 1 84 18 SW21 31 3 1 SW41 11337 SW35 343712 E 06/30-19 8 7 1 79 20 W20 30 3 1 SW51 8201 SW33 246690 E 06/30-20 8 7 1 72 26 W18 28 3 1 SW59 5065 W32 149668 V 06/30-21 8 7 1 65 32 W16 24 3 1 SW61 1929 W31 52647 F 06/30-22 8 7 1 63 34 W15 24 3 1 SW49 1830 W36 55693 F 06/30-23 8 7 1 61 35 W15 23 4 1 SW35 1732 W39 58739 F 07/01-00 2 5 1 61 36 W14 22 4 1 SW21 1633 W44 61785 G 07/01-01 2 5 1 60 37 W13 20 4 1 SW15 1390 W36 46751 F 07/01-02 2 5 1 59 39 W10 17 4 1 SW14 1147 W29 31717 P 07/01-03 2 5 1 58 40 W 9 15 4 1 SW15 904 W21 16683 P 07/01-04 2 5 1 56 43 W 8 13 4 1 SW17 813 W18 13545 P 07/01-05 2 5 1 55 45 W 7 7 4 1 W20 722 W16 10407 P 07/01-06 2 5 1 55 45 W 7 7 4 1 W22 630 W14 7269 P 07/01-07 2 5 1 59 42 W 7 7 3 1 W22 2641 W 9 10126 P 07/01-08 2 5 1 64 37 SW 8 8 3 1 W22 4652 W 6 12984 P 07/01-09 2 5 1 69 32 SW 8 13 2 1 W22 6663 SW 2 15842 P 07/01-10 2 5 1 73 28 S 8 14 2 1 W25 7390 SW 5 36199 P 07/01-11 2 5 1 75 25 SE 9 14 2 1 W29 8117 SW 8 56556 F 07/01-12 3 6 1 76 23 SE 9 15 2 1 W31 8843 SW10 76913 G 07/01-13 3 6 1 77 22 SE 9 15 2 1 W32 9301 SW10 83157 G 07/01-14 3 6 1 77 22 SE10 16 2 1 SW31 9758 SW10 89402 G 07/01-15 3 6 1 78 21 E10 16 2 1 SW30 10216 S10 95646 G 07/01-16 3 6 1 79 20 E12 18 2 1 SW29 10637 S12 107545 V 07/01-17 3 6 1 81 19 E13 20 3 1 SW28 11058 S13 119443 V 07/01-18 59 9 2 81 20 E13 21 3 1 SW26 11479 S13 131342 V 07/01-19 59 9 2 78 23 E13 20 3 1 SW26 9582 S14 110359 V 07/01-20 59 9 2 74 27 NE12 18 2 1 SW28 7685 S14 89377 G 07/01-21 59 9 2 71 31 N10 16 2 1 SW28 5788 S14 68394 G 07/01-22 59 9 2 69 33 N 9 15 2 1 SW29 4777 S13 55350 F 07/01-23 59 9 2 67 34 NW 8 13 2 1 SW29 3766 SE13 42306 F 07/02-00 6 5 1 66 35 W 7 7 2 1 SW29 2755 SE13 29263 P 07/02-01 6 5 1 64 37 W 7 7 2 1 SW28 2289 S13 24263 P 07/02-02 6 5 1 62 39 W 7 7 2 1 SW25 1823 S13 19264 P 07/02-03 6 5 1 61 41 W 7 7 2 1 SW23 1357 S13 14264 P 07/02-04 6 5 1 58 45 W 7 7 2 1 SW22 1028 S 9 10051 P 07/02-05 6 5 1 56 49 W 6 6 2 1 SW22 700 SW 7 5838 P 07/02-06 6 5 1 55 51 W 6 6 2 1 SW22 371 SW 5 1626 P 07/02-07 6 5 1 58 46 W 6 6 1 07/02-08 6 5 1 63 39 SW 5 5 1 07/02-09 6 5 1 69 32 S 5 5 1 07/02-10 6 5 1 76 27 S 5 5 1 07/02-11 6 5 1 81 23 SE 3 3 1 07/02-12 39 8 2 86 20 E 3 3 1 07/02-13 39 8 2 87 19 SE 3 3 1 07/02-14 39 8 2 87 18 SE 2 2 1 07/02-15 39 8 2 87 17 SE 2 2 1 07/02-16 39 8 2 87 17 S 2 2 1 07/02-17 39 8 2 86 18 S 2 2 1 07/02-18 39 8 2 84 20 S 2 2 1 KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GARY BATCHELDER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110629.MAXWE.01/BOU