FNUS72 KILM 300026 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 826 PM EDT WED JUN 29 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1923 EDT ON JUNE 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS LATER TONIGHT...AND WILL PROVIDE THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK. LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT MAY RESULT IN VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. VERY LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE LOWEST PORTIONS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL CREATE VERY POOR DISPERSAL BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND...RE-ESTABLISHING A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW AND CREATING HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-600 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 3 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 1 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH LATE. LVORI...............7. ADI.................22...INCREASING TO 34 EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............67 51 49 46 45 43 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................82 77 73 71 70 69 RH..................69 83 94 98 100 100 20 FT WIND..........NE 2 NE 2 SE 2 SE 2 S 2 W 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......NE 1 NE 1 SE 2 SE 2 S 2 W 2 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............3 5 6 9 10 10 ADI.................22 5 2 3 2 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING EAST AND SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-6500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH. LVORI...............6. ADI.................4...INCREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 43 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 63 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 41...DECREASING TO 31 LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............41 36 36 36 36 36 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................69 71 78 84 87 88 RH..................100 96 69 52 46 44 20 FT WIND..........NW 3 N 5 NE 4 E 3 SE 3 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 2 N 4 NE 3 E 2 SE 2 SE 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 10 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............10 8 3 1 1 2 ADI.................2 4 5 43 65 40 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH LATE...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. LVORI...............6. ADI.................31...DECREASING TO 3. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............36 36 33 28 24 24 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................86 80 74 71 69 67 RH..................47 60 74 87 96 100 20 FT WIND..........S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 2 3 6 7 10 ADI.................31 14 3 2 3 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4600-6400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 9 MPH. LVORI...............6. ADI.................3...INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 20 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 41 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 28. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............23 22 28 37 44 46 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................67 70 80 87 90 91 RH..................100 99 68 50 44 42 20 FT WIND..........SW 3 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 1 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............10 9 3 2 1 1 ADI.................2 3 2 18 41 25 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH OVERNIGHT. LVORI...............7. ADI.................24...DECREASING TO 3. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............51 54 54 50 47 45 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................88 84 77 73 71 70 RH..................51 61 78 88 93 98 20 FT WIND..........S 7 S 6 S 5 S 4 SW 4 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....9 8 7 7 6 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 6 S 5 S 4 S 3 SW 3 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....8 7 6 5 5 4 LVORI...............2 2 4 7 9 10 ADI.................24 16 10 9 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...HOEHLER REQUESTED BY...GARY M CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110629.SIMMO.03/ILM