FNUS72 KMHX 291033 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 620 AM EDT WED JUN 29 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0614 EDT ON JUNE 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... FRONT WILL DROP INTO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TODAY AND WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SATURDAY NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH MID WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH LATE. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............90 92 93 94 93 89 WEATHER COV.........S CHC SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................77 79 80 81 83 84 RH..................86 81 78 74 71 67 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 8 SW 10 SW 10 SW 8 SW 5 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 5 LVORI...............5 3 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1300 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 7 MPH. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............86 80 68 64 61 37 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................83 81 78 75 73 72 RH..................67 72 79 84 87 89 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 3 SW 3 SW 1 W 1 N 2 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 LVORI...............3 3 4 5 6 6 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............27 19 27 29 28 30 WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................72 74 78 81 82 82 RH..................91 87 72 60 57 58 20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 6 N 8 N 10 NE 10 NE 10 NE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............6 5 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...GOODALL REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110629.PAINS.01/MHX