FNUS75 KPUB 300129
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCKETT...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
729 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS ENDED FOR THE NIGHT...WITH WINDS
EXPECTED TO BECOME MAINLY DOWNSLOPE BY MIDNIGHT. WEAK SURFACE-BASED
INVERSIONS WILL BREAK QUICKLY AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING...AND
STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST WINDS COUPLED WITH PERSISTENT HOT AND
DRY CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE AREA
STARTING BY LATE MORNING AND CONTINUING WELL INTO THURSDAY EVENING.

KEEP A WATCH OUT FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION DEVELOPING DURING THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...WHICH WOULD MOST LIKELY PRODUCE
STRONG GUSTY WINDS FROM VIRGA.

**THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS**

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(42 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58F.
MAX HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2300...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(47 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0700...THEN UPSLOPE 4-8 MPH
                    UNTIL 1000.  AFTER 1000 SOUTHWEST 13-17 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 13000 FT AGL AFTER 0900.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSEN
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110629.DUCKE.01/PUB