FNUS75 KRIW 291956
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP CREEK RX...BLM RAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
156 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 MDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW IS OVER THE BURN AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH IS MOVING IN FROM
THE WEST. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
WILL PRODUCE STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH. EXPECT WINDS TO
STAY ELEVATED ALL NIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE AREA. MIN TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE AS COOL WITH THE WIND AND
INCREASED CLOUDINESS OVERNIGHT. THE WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM THE
SOUTHWEST TO THE WEST TO THE NORTHWEST FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THE WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA. EXPECT A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FROM NOW UNTIL THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MCDONALD

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-75 PERCENT).
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR AND AHEAD OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
LAL.................4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (255000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    AROUND 30 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 TO 12 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 2400. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.25 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (146700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (55900 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) WITH A CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (45-55 PERCENT) WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    NORTHWEST IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP
                    TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE
                    GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-7800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT (114100-152600 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 11 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MCDONALD
REQUESTED BY...LEROY EVANS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110629.CAMPC.01/RIW