FNUS73 KUNR 292237
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR INCIDENT  1...WY-WEX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
437 PM MDT WED JUN 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1620 MDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
EVENING...ALONG WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY
RECOVERY WILL BE POOR OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS...AND RAINFALL WILL BE LIGHT.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE BLACK HILLS ON THURSDAY
AS A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN WYOMING. WILL WILL BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIABLE THURSDAY MORNING...THEN SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 67-69.
RH..................MAX 50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO
                    10 MPH AROUND MIDNIGHT MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO AROUND 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 85-87.
RH..................MIN 30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH AROUND NOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...NWS
REQUESTED BY...DANIEL TYSDEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110629.INCID.01/UNR