FNUS75 KBOU 010033 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COFFINTOP...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 633 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. AS A RESULT...SHOWERS IN THE THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL BE DIMINISHING AND COMING TO AN END BY MIDNIGHT. THE SHOWERS HAVE RESULTED IN HIGHER HUMIDITY READINGS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS THIS EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH...ALTHOUGH A STRONGER STORM COULD PRODUCE A QUARTER INCH. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THESE STORMS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RELAX LATER TONIGHT AS THE FLOW ALOFT WEAKENS. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY FOR FRIDAY WITH MAINLY DRY WEATHER EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF TONIGHTS SYSTEM. MORE TYPICAL SUMMERLIKE WEATHER WILL DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL SUPPORT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...LIGHT WINDS...AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....54. MAX HUMIDITY........53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 16-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN NORTHWEST 11-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17-28 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHWEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 2300. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2200. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....78. MIN HUMIDITY........22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9600-10600 FT AGL AFTER 0900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....55. MAX HUMIDITY........58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTH 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 9000-9800 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COFFINTOP. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/30-18 85 70 25 67 45 SW22 33 3 4 S56 4434 S26 102564 V 06/30-19 85 70 25 65 46 SW22 33 3 4 S48 4566 S26 104419 V 06/30-20 85 70 25 64 46 W21 32 2 4 S36 4698 SW26 106274 V 06/30-21 85 70 25 62 47 W21 32 2 4 S25 4830 SW25 108129 V 06/30-22 72 70 25 61 47 W20 31 3 4 S28 3563 W22 75888 G 06/30-23 72 70 25 59 46 W19 29 3 4 S32 2295 W17 43647 F 07/01-00 38 2 0 58 46 W18 28 4 1 S35 1028 W13 11407 P 07/01-01 38 2 0 57 47 W16 25 4 1 SW26 1040 W14 12228 P 07/01-02 26 2 0 56 48 W15 23 3 1 NW15 1052 W14 13050 P 07/01-03 26 2 0 56 50 W14 21 3 1 N 7 1064 NW15 13871 P 07/01-04 19 2 0 54 53 NW13 20 3 1 N 9 876 NW15 11198 P 07/01-05 19 2 0 54 53 NW12 18 3 1 NW15 688 NW14 8526 P 07/01-06 2 0 0 54 53 NW12 17 3 1 NW22 500 NW14 5853 P 07/01-07 2 0 0 61 41 NW12 17 3 1 NW24 2662 NW14 33019 P 07/01-08 2 0 0 67 32 NW10 16 2 1 NW26 4824 NW14 60186 G 07/01-09 2 0 0 70 28 NW10 16 2 1 NW25 6986 NW15 87353 G 07/01-10 2 0 0 74 25 NW 9 9 2 1 NW23 7962 NW14 91961 G 07/01-11 2 0 0 75 24 W 8 8 3 1 NW20 8938 NW13 96569 G 07/01-12 28 6 1 76 23 W 7 7 3 1 NW17 9914 NW12 101177 V 07/01-13 28 6 1 78 22 W 7 7 3 1 W17 9998 W10 94372 G 07/01-14 28 6 1 76 24 W 8 8 3 1 W18 10083 W10 87566 G 07/01-15 46 6 1 76 24 W 8 8 3 1 W18 10168 W 9 80761 G 07/01-16 46 6 1 77 23 W 7 7 3 1 W18 10372 W 9 78598 G 07/01-17 46 6 1 74 25 W 6 6 3 1 W17 10575 W 8 76436 G 07/01-18 61 10 2 75 25 W 6 6 3 2 W18 10779 W 8 74273 G 07/01-19 61 10 2 74 26 SW 7 7 3 2 W20 7757 SW 8 54345 F 07/01-20 61 10 2 69 30 SE 8 8 3 2 SW23 4734 SE 9 34416 P 07/01-21 61 10 2 65 36 E10 16 3 2 SW28 1711 E 9 14488 P 07/01-22 61 10 2 62 42 E10 15 3 2 SW30 2128 E10 19510 P 07/01-23 61 10 2 62 43 SE 9 9 2 2 SW32 2545 SE10 24531 P 07/02-00 6 5 1 61 45 SE 8 8 2 1 SW33 2962 S12 29553 P 07/02-01 6 5 1 60 48 SE 8 8 2 1 SW33 2309 S10 22231 P 07/02-02 6 5 1 57 52 S 7 7 3 1 W32 1657 S 9 14910 P 07/02-03 6 5 1 57 54 S 7 7 3 1 W31 1004 S 9 7589 P 07/02-04 6 5 1 55 58 S 7 7 3 1 W31 1007 S 8 6959 P 07/02-05 6 5 1 55 58 SW 7 7 3 1 W30 1009 S 7 6330 P 07/02-06 6 5 1 55 58 SW 7 7 3 1 W30 1012 S 7 5701 P 07/02-07 6 5 1 62 46 SW 7 7 3 1 W30 2457 SW 8 19109 P 07/02-08 6 5 1 68 38 S 7 7 3 1 W30 3902 SW 9 32518 P 07/02-09 6 5 1 71 34 S 7 7 3 1 W29 5347 W10 45927 F 07/02-10 6 5 1 75 30 S 7 7 3 1 W29 5661 W10 48125 F 07/02-11 6 5 1 73 32 S 7 7 3 1 W29 5975 W 9 50323 F 07/02-12 51 10 2 74 31 S 7 7 3 2 W29 6290 W 9 52521 F 07/02-13 51 10 2 76 28 S 7 7 3 2 W28 7173 SW 9 59628 F 07/02-14 51 10 2 77 28 S 6 6 3 2 W28 8056 SW 9 66735 G 07/02-15 51 10 2 77 27 S 6 6 3 2 W26 8939 SW 9 73843 G 07/02-16 51 10 2 78 25 S 6 6 3 2 W25 9374 SW 8 65036 G 07/02-17 51 10 2 76 27 S 5 5 3 2 W24 9810 SW 7 56229 F 07/02-18 51 10 2 76 27 S 5 5 3 2 W23 10245 S 6 47422 F 07/02-19 51 10 2 75 28 S 5 5 3 2 W24 7264 S 6 34004 P 07/02-20 51 10 2 72 32 S 6 6 3 2 W26 4282 S 6 20586 P 07/02-21 51 10 2 67 37 SW 6 6 3 2 W28 1301 S 7 7168 P 07/02-22 51 10 2 65 41 SW 6 6 3 2 W26 1018 S 6 5464 P 07/02-23 51 10 2 65 42 SW 7 7 4 2 W25 735 SW 6 3760 P 07/03-00 3 5 1 64 43 SW 7 7 4 1 W23 452 SW 6 2056 P 07/03-01 3 5 1 63 45 SW 8 8 4 1 W21 362 SW 6 1793 P 07/03-02 3 5 1 61 48 W 8 8 5 1 NW20 272 W 7 1530 P 07/03-03 3 5 1 60 48 W 9 14 5 1 NW20 182 W 8 1267 P 07/03-04 3 5 1 59 50 W 9 14 5 1 NW18 165 W 8 1175 P 07/03-05 3 5 1 59 49 W 9 14 5 1 NW18 148 W 8 1084 P 07/03-06 3 5 1 59 49 W 9 14 5 1 NW17 131 W 9 993 P 07/03-07 3 5 1 67 38 W 9 9 5 1 NW16 1896 W10 21077 P 07/03-08 3 5 1 74 30 NW 8 8 5 1 NW15 3662 NW12 41162 F 07/03-09 3 5 1 77 26 NW 7 7 5 1 NW15 5427 NW13 61247 G 07/03-10 3 5 1 81 23 N 6 6 5 1 NW14 7525 NW12 66796 G 07/03-11 3 5 1 79 24 N 5 5 4 1 NW13 9623 NW 9 72344 G 07/03-12 34 7 1 81 23 N 3 3 4 1 NW13 11721 NW 8 77893 G 07/03-13 34 7 1 83 20 N 2 2 4 1 NW13 12753 NW 7 72600 G 07/03-14 34 7 1 83 19 CALM 1 4 1 W13 13784 W 6 67307 G 07/03-15 34 7 1 84 18 CALM 1 4 1 W13 14815 W 5 62014 G 07/03-16 34 7 1 85 17 CALM 1 4 1 W13 14355 W 7 81049 G 07/03-17 34 7 1 81 19 CALM 1 4 1 W14 13894 W 8 100083 V 07/03-18 34 7 1 82 18 CALM 1 4 1 NW15 13433 W10 119118 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GARY BATCHELDER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110630.COFFI.02/BOU