FNUS72 KMHX 301011 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 611 AM EDT THU JUN 30 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0557 EDT ON JUNE 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CALM WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING ON STRONG NOCTURNAL INVERSION WILL ALLOW FOR SMOKE AND FOG TO LINGER. DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO E NC TODAY ON LIGHT NORTH AND NORTHEAST WINDS BY MID MORNING...WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS. MIN RH VALUES WILL BE NEAR 50 PERCENT OVER THE FIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WARMING TEMPS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND AS THE FLOW BECOMES SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST ALONG WITH INCREASING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. NEXT SMALL CHANCE OF PRECIP WILL ARRIVE LATE SUN INTO TUE AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND STALLS OVER THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF FOG AND SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL EARLY THIS MORNING...INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 14 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............22 16 14 16 23 26 WEATHER COV.........AREAS WEATHER TYPE........FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................70 76 81 83 84 85 RH..................88 78 64 57 55 55 20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 4 N 6 N 9 NE 9 NE 7 NE 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 10 15 LVORI...............6 4 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 1 TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 1 TO 2 MPH LATE. LVORI...............7. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............23 17 16 15 16 16 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................79 74 70 69 66 65 RH..................66 79 90 89 99 100 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 9 E 7 E 5 E 3 E 1 NE 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 LVORI...............3 4 6 6 10 10 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO 7 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............16 16 28 34 36 36 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................64 71 76 81 84 84 RH..................100 88 70 55 48 49 20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 2 NW 3 N 4 NE 5 NE 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 LVORI...............10 6 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 5 5 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...LONKA REQUESTED BY...JAMIE DUNBAR TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110630.PAINS.01/MHX