FNUS72 KILM 011852 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER ROAD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 252 PM EDT FRI JUL 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1433 EDT ON JULY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AT THE FIRE SITE...SEA-BREEZE INDUCED WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER NIGHTFALL AS THE NOCTURNAL INVERSION BECOMES ESTABLISHED. A DENSE SMOKE ADVISORY WILL COVER PENDER...NEW HANOVER AND BRUNSWICK COUNTIES FROM 9 PM TONIGHT TO 11 AM SATURDAY MORNING. THE BERMUDA RIDGE WILL BUILD WEST ACROSS THE EASTERN CAROLINAS OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...HOLDING THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH A MORE PRONOUNCED INLAND TROUGH...WILL BRING A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW BEGINNING SATURDAY. HIGHER LEVELS OF HUMIDITY WILL RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND AND PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN WILL BECOME UNFAVORABLE ALONG AND EAST OF THE SEA-BREEZE DURING THE AFTERNOON... TYPE 1-F...MAXIMUM WIND NEAR 500 FT AGL. DIRECTION SE. SPEED 16 MPH. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE WEST OF THE SEABREEZE. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7200-8200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 2 MPH...BECOMING WEST 2 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM LVORI.......9 EARLY. ADI.................2...INCREASING TO 13 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 38 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 25...DECREASING TO 17 LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............16 19 23 29 42 34 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........FOG FOG FOG SMOKE NONE NONE TEMP................68 73 80 86 89 89 RH..................87 82 57 43 39 43 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 W 2 W 1 E 0 NE 1 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 1 W 2 W 1 E 0 NE 1 SE 2 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 LVORI...............9 7 3 1 1 2 ADI.................0 0 13 33 36 20 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 17 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MAXIMUM LVORI.......4. ADI.................31...DECREASING TO 10. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............31 31 27 22 18 19 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................87 85 80 78 77 76 RH..................51 58 69 74 76 80 20 FT WIND..........S 5 S 6 S 6 S 5 S 5 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 10 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 4 S 5 S 5 S 4 S 4 SW 3 EYE LVL WND GST.....10 15 10 10 5 LVORI...............2 2 3 3 4 4 ADI.................31 10 12 12 7 7 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6000-7600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH. MAXIMUM LVORI.......4. ADI.................9...INCREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 51 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 48...INCREASING TO 57 LATE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............21 23 30 39 46 48 WEATHER COV.........AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................75 78 84 90 92 92 RH..................85 76 61 49 44 46 20 FT WIND..........SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 3 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 5 S 6 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 10 10 15 15 LVORI...............4 4 1 1 1 1 ADI.................6 10 31 46 55 50 $$ FORECASTER...8 REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110701.JUNIP.01/ILM