FNUS72 KILM 011616 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1216 PM EDT FRI JUL 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON JULY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT NORTH WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE INLAND PROGRESS OF THE SEA BREEZE SHOULD STOP JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FIRE. IF THE SEA BREEZE REACHES THE FIRE...WINDS WOULD SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 PM...BUT REMAIN LIGHT. WEATHER CONDITIONS SUPPORT ANOTHER SUPER-FOG EVENT LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...BUT NOT AS DENSE OR WIDESPREAD AS THIS MORNING. A TRANSITION WILL OCCUR WITH BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE AND SOUTHERLY FLOW BEING RE-ESTABLISHED BY LATE SATURDAY. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK. WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 3 TO 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 AT IGNITION TIME...INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH. LVORI...............2. ADI.................24...INCREASING TO 33 LATE. TIME (EDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............27 26 24 WEATHER COV.........AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE NONE NONE TEMP................89 91 91 RH..................43 38 37 20 FT WIND..........NW 4 N 4 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 LVORI...............2 2 1 ADI.................22 23 33 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 4 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 100-800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH. ADI.................57...DECREASING TO 2. LVORI...............MAX 7 JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............22 16 14 13 8 8 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................89 82 74 70 68 67 RH..................41 55 74 86 90 92 20 FT WIND..........N 4 N 3 E 2 S 1 SW 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 LVORI...............1 1 2 3 4 5 ADI.................57 40 12 6 5 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 8600-9400 FT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 MPH. ADI.................1...INCREASING TO 61. LVORI...............MAX 8 EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............7 5 22 31 35 41 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................67 70 82 89 92 92 RH..................93 90 61 49 45 46 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 SW 1 SW 1 S 2 SE 2 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 LVORI...............7 6 3 2 1 1 ADI.................0 0 0 17 61 35 $$ FORECASTER...STEVE REQUESTED BY...LAURA PREVATTE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110701.SIMMO.02/ILM