FNUS72 KILM 012341 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR SIMMONS RD FIRE...NC FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 741 PM EDT FRI JUL 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1925 EDT ON JULY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT WINDS AND HIGH HUMIDITIES TONIGHT WILL RESULT IN A POTENTIAL SUPER-FOG EVENT LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ON SATURDAY WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...LIMITING SMOKE DISPERSION IN SPITE OF DEEP MIXING. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL INCREASE LATER IN THE WEEKEND AS A BERMUDA RIDGE BUILDS WEST INTO THE CAROLINAS. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE ISOLATED AT BEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING EARLY NEXT WEEK. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............14 9 11 10 10 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................85 78 73 70 68 RH..................56 73 86 94 98 20 FT WIND..........N 3 E 2 S 2 S 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......N 2 E 1 S 2 S 2 SW 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 3 6 8 10 ADI.................21 1 0 0 0 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 8500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH AROUND MID-AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............12 13 16 22 26 30 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE NONE TEMP................69 72 82 89 91 92 RH..................98 93 55 38 34 32 20 FT WIND..........SW 2 W 0 SW 0 S 1 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 1 W 0 SW 0 S 1 S 1 S 2 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 LVORI...............10 8 3 2 2 1 ADI.................0 0 2 29 20 30 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............32 32 28 22 18 23 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................91 84 78 76 74 72 RH..................36 47 60 70 78 84 20 FT WIND..........S 3 S 4 S 3 S 3 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 2 S 3 S 2 S 2 SW 4 SW 4 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 5 10 LVORI...............2 2 3 3 4 4 ADI.................33 32 7 6 9 9 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7600-8200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............31 37 42 49 53 56 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................71 75 83 90 93 93 RH..................91 79 60 46 40 39 20 FT WIND..........SW 5 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 10 10 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......SW 4 SW 3 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 5 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 10 10 10 15 LVORI...............6 4 3 1 1 1 ADI.................8 6 9 52 45 50 $$ FORECASTER...STEVE REQUESTED BY...JOHN COOK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110701.SIMMO.03/ILM